Football · South Korea K3 League · 11/10, 07:00

Prediction: Gangneung City vs Siheung City AC

Team pages: Gangneung City · Siheung City AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Gangneung City1

Siheung City AC1.51

1X2

25% 27% 48%

Gangneung City Draw Siheung City AC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gangneung City 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWWDLL

Siheung City AC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Gangneung City 3–2–1 Siheung City AC (6 last)

Siheung City AC1-1Gangneung City
Siheung City AC0-1Gangneung City
Gangneung City2-2Siheung City AC
Gangneung City2-1Siheung City AC
Siheung City AC0-2Gangneung City
Siheung City AC1-0Gangneung City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gangneung City 1482 · Siheung City AC 1557

	Gangneung City	Draw	Siheung City AC
Our model	24%	28%	48%
Market	25%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Siheung City AC (rating 1482 vs 1557).
H2H favours Gangneung City: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gangneung City	Siheung City AC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.4	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.40

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.60▼	Pinn 4.04 ★
X	3.80 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	1.70 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.89

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:17 +15’	3.80	3.80	1.70
11:09 +7’	3.60▼	3.40▼	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:18 +51’	3.66	3.19	1.98
09:25 +7’	3.96▲	3.30▲	1.86▼
09:39 +96’	3.96	3.26▼	1.88▲
15:18	3.97▲	3.25▼	1.88
05:02 +16’	4.04▲	3.30▲	1.89▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangneung City 3–2–1 Siheung City AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	1-1 HT 1-0	Gangneung City
02/11/25 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	0-1 HT 0-0	Gangneung City
22/06/25 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	2-2 HT 1-0	Siheung City AC
07/09/24 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	2-1 HT 1-1	Siheung City AC
11/05/24 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	0-2 HT 0-0	Gangneung City
04/11/23 South Korea K3 League	Siheung City AC	1-0 HT 1-0	Gangneung City

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	23	17	4	2	37	20	55
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	24	14	7	3	41	20	49
3	Daejeon Korail	24	12	5	7	33	19	41
4	Busan Trans Corp	24	11	7	6	42	30	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	23	9	8	6	35	31	35
6	Dangjin Citizen FC	24	10	4	10	47	39	34
7	Chuncheon FC	24	9	6	9	42	37	33
8	Changwon City	24	7	8	9	27	31	29
9	Ulsan Citizen FC	24	8	4	12	25	28	28
10	Yeoju	24	7	7	10	27	31	28
11	Gangneung City	23	7	6	10	21	32	27
12	Mokpo City	23	5	9	9	22	36	24
13	Yangpyeong FC	24	4	8	12	30	46	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	24	1	7	16	25	54	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gangneung City	Siheung City AC
Daejeon Korail	1-2 L	2-0 W
Gyeongju HNP	0-1 L	0-1 L
Busan Trans Corp	1-1 D	0-2 L
Jeonbuk Motors II	2-1 W	1-1 D
Chuncheon FC	1-0 W	3-2 W
Yeoju	1-1 D	1-0 W
Pocheon Citizen FC	1-3 L	3-2 W
Ulsan Citizen FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Siheung City AC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gangneung City

WLLLDWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
12/09	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
06/09	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
29/08	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
23/08	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
25/07	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
11/07	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
28/06	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-3	2-5	6	1	L
21/06	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
06/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	3	2	W

Siheung City AC

WWDLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	0	8	W
13/09	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	3-1	3-1	4	3	W
06/09	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
30/08	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	3-0	3-2	6	5	W
23/08	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
25/07	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
11/07	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	0-2	0-2	9	0	L
27/06	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
20/06	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-2	4	2	W
07/06	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gangneung City vs Siheung City AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Siheung City AC win (48%). Probabilities: Gangneung City 25%, draw 27%, Siheung City AC 48%.

How many goals are expected in Gangneung City vs Siheung City AC?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Gangneung City 1 · Siheung City AC 1.51), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gangneung City vs Siheung City AC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.