Football · South Korea K3 League · 22/08, 11:00
Prediction: Yangpyeong FC vs Gyeongju HNP
Team pages: Yangpyeong FC · Gyeongju HNP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Yangpyeong FC1.3
Gyeongju HNP1.6
1X2
Yangpyeong FC
Draw
Gyeongju HNP
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yangpyeong FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Gyeongju HNP
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yangpyeong FC
0–1–5
Gyeongju HNP
(6 last)
- Gyeongju HNP4-0Yangpyeong FC
- Yangpyeong FC0-1Gyeongju HNP
- Gyeongju HNP0-0Yangpyeong FC
- Yangpyeong FC1-2Gyeongju HNP
- Gyeongju HNP2-0Yangpyeong FC
- Yangpyeong FC0-1Gyeongju HNP
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyeongju HNP (rating 1435 vs 1535).
- H2H favours Gyeongju HNP: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yangpyeong FC | Gyeongju HNP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.8 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yangpyeong FC 0–1–5 Gyeongju HNP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 South Korea K3 League | Gyeongju HNP | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Yangpyeong FC |
| 28/09/25 South Korea K3 League | Yangpyeong FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gyeongju HNP |
| 31/05/25 South Korea K3 League | Gyeongju HNP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Yangpyeong FC |
| 20/07/24 South Korea K3 League | Yangpyeong FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Gyeongju HNP |
| 06/04/24 South Korea K3 League | Gyeongju HNP | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Yangpyeong FC |
| 16/07/23 South Korea K3 League | Yangpyeong FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gyeongju HNP |
Standings · South Korea K3 League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung City AC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Pocheon Citizen FC | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Busan Trans Corp | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | Daejeon Korail | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Dangjin Citizen FC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 27 | 28 |
| 6 | Changwon City | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Gyeongju HNP | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 8 | Yeoju | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 9 | Chuncheon FC | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 20 |
| 10 | Gangneung City | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 20 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 19 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong FC | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 16 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 15 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yangpyeong FC | Gyeongju HNP |
|---|---|---|
| Busan Trans Corp | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors II | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Chuncheon FC | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yangpyeong FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | Hwaseong FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Ulsan Nam Gu FC South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 07/06 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Gyeongju HNP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/07 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 2-5 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yangpyeong FC vs Gyeongju HNP?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gyeongju HNP win (43%). Probabilities: Yangpyeong FC 30%, draw 27%, Gyeongju HNP 43%.
How many goals are expected in Yangpyeong FC vs Gyeongju HNP?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Yangpyeong FC 1.3 · Gyeongju HNP 1.6), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yangpyeong FC vs Gyeongju HNP?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.