Football · South Korea K3 League · 23/08, 12:00

Prediction: Gangneung City vs Chuncheon FC

Team pages: Gangneung City · Chuncheon FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Gangneung City1.78

Chuncheon FC1.69

1X2

40% 24% 36%

Gangneung City Draw Chuncheon FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gangneung City 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWLLLD

Chuncheon FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWDDLDDW

Head-to-head

Gangneung City 3–1–2 Chuncheon FC (6 last)

Chuncheon FC2-0Gangneung City
Gangneung City2-4Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC1-2Gangneung City
Chuncheon FC0-1Gangneung City
Gangneung City0-0Chuncheon FC
Chuncheon FC0-2Gangneung City

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chuncheon FC (rating 1455 vs 1497).
H2H favours Gangneung City: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gangneung City	Chuncheon FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	1.3 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.53 → 2.53	Pinn 2.53
X	3.14 → 3.14	Pinn 3.14
2	2.64 → 2.64	Pinn 2.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:25 +9’	2.53	3.14	2.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangneung City 3–1–2 Chuncheon FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Gangneung City
06/09/25 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	2-4 HT 1-2	Chuncheon FC
10/05/25 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	1-2 HT 0-2	Gangneung City
14/09/24 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Gangneung City
19/05/24 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	0-0 HT 0-0	Chuncheon FC
13/09/23 South Korea K3 League	Chuncheon FC	0-2 HT 0-2	Gangneung City

Standings · South Korea K3 League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Siheung City AC	18	12	4	2	24	15	40
2	Pocheon Citizen FC	18	10	6	2	31	16	36
3	Busan Trans Corp	18	9	6	3	30	15	33
4	Daejeon Korail	18	9	5	4	28	13	32
5	Dangjin Citizen FC	19	8	4	7	35	27	28
6	Changwon City	18	6	8	4	19	17	26
7	Gyeongju HNP	18	5	7	6	24	24	22
8	Yeoju	18	5	7	6	21	23	22
9	Chuncheon FC	18	5	5	8	32	30	20
10	Gangneung City	18	5	5	8	16	27	20
11	Ulsan Citizen FC	18	5	4	9	18	21	19
12	Yangpyeong FC	18	3	7	8	22	33	16
13	Mokpo City	18	2	9	7	15	31	15
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	19	1	7	11	20	43	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gangneung City	Chuncheon FC
Yeoju	1-1 D	0-1 L
Pocheon Citizen FC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Ulsan Citizen FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Changwon City	0-1 L	1-1 D
Yangpyeong FC	1-0 W	3-3 D
Siheung City AC	1-1 D	2-3 L
Daejeon Korail	0-3 L	3-3 D
Gyeongju HNP	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gangneung City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gangneung City

WLDWLWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
11/07	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
28/06	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-3	2-5	6	1	L
21/06	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
06/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
30/05	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
23/05	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
17/05	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
10/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
01/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-0	0	1	W

Chuncheon FC

LLWWDDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/07	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	3-3	2	6	D
20/06	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
06/06	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	2-2	3-3	1	6	D
30/05	Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
23/05	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	1-2	3-2	7	2	W
16/05	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	3-0	6-1	5	0	W
09/05	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
02/05	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-1	5	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gangneung City vs Chuncheon FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangneung City win (40%). Probabilities: Gangneung City 40%, draw 24%, Chuncheon FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Gangneung City vs Chuncheon FC?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Gangneung City 1.78 · Chuncheon FC 1.69), with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gangneung City vs Chuncheon FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.