Football · Brazil Serie A · 29/10, 01:30

Prediction: Remo vs Botafogo

Team pages: Remo · Botafogo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Remo1.3

Botafogo1.27

1X2

37% 28% 35%

Remo Draw Botafogo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Remo 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLLDDD

Botafogo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWLLDW

Head-to-head

Remo 1–2 Botafogo (3 last)

Botafogo1-2Remo
Remo0-1Botafogo
Botafogo3-0Remo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Remo 1445 · Botafogo 1458

	Remo	Draw	Botafogo
Our model	36%	29%	35%
Market	37%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Botafogo: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Remo	Botafogo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.8	2.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:06 +14’	2.50	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Remo 1–0–2 Botafogo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Brazil Serie A	Botafogo	1-2 HT 1-0	Remo
05/09/21 Brazil Serie B	Remo	0-1 HT 0-0	Botafogo
13/06/21 Brazil Serie B	Botafogo	3-0 HT 1-0	Remo

Standings · Brazil Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61	25	67
2	Palmeiras	31	19	9	3	54	22	66
3	Athletico Paranaense	31	15	8	8	49	37	53
4	Cruzeiro	31	15	6	10	50	46	51
5	Fluminense	31	14	9	8	49	39	51
6	Atletico Mineiro	31	14	8	9	42	35	50
7	EC Bahia	31	13	10	8	44	39	49
8	Santos	31	12	9	10	48	46	45
9	Sao Paulo	31	12	6	13	36	35	42
10	Bragantino	31	11	8	12	39	36	41
11	Botafogo	31	10	9	12	44	48	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38	49	39
13	Vitoria	31	10	7	14	34	45	37
14	Mirassol	31	9	9	13	36	44	36
15	Vasco da Gama	30	9	8	13	36	43	35
16	Corinthians	31	8	9	14	32	39	33
17	Internacional	31	7	11	13	33	40	32
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34	44	31
19	Remo	31	5	11	15	34	49	26
20	Chapecoense	30	3	9	18	30	62	18

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Remo	Botafogo
Bragantino	1-1 D	1-1 D
Vasco da Gama	0-0 D	1-2 L
Gremio	1-1 D	3-2 W
Flamengo	0-1 L	0-3 L
Coritiba	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Remo

DDLLLLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Bragantino Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	14	3	D
10/10	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/10	Gremio Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
19/09	Santos Brazil Serie A	0-0	1-2	5	7	L
15/09	EC Bahia Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
06/09	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
01/09	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	0-0	2-3	9	4	L
22/08	Fluminense Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/08	Internacional Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
08/08	Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A	1-2	2-2	5	4	D

Botafogo

LLLDDWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Chapecoense Brazil Serie A	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
12/10	Coritiba Brazil Serie A	1-1	1-1	7	7	D
08/10	Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-2	7	1	L
19/09	Mirassol Brazil Serie A	0-2	0-2	4	1	L
17/09	Gremio Brazil Serie A	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
13/09	Bragantino Brazil Serie A	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
06/09	Palmeiras Brazil Serie A	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
30/08	Flamengo Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
25/08	Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A	0-2	2-3	13	3	L
16/08	Vitoria Brazil Serie A	0-1	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Remo vs Botafogo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Remo win (37%). Probabilities: Remo 37%, draw 28%, Botafogo 35%.

How many goals are expected in Remo vs Botafogo?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Remo 1.3 · Botafogo 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Remo vs Botafogo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.