Prediction: Zhejiang vs Qingdao Hainiu
Expected goals: 3.82 (Zhejiang 2.43 · Qingdao Hainiu 1.39). The model gives 59% home, 21% draw, 20% away. Over 3.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves Zhejiang with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Qingdao Hainiu has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Zhejiang and 1 for Qingdao Hainiu, with 2 draws.
| Zhejiang | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Zhejiang: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zhejiang | Qingdao Hainiu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.2 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhejiang 3–2–1 Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Zhejiang |
| 22/11/25 China Super League | Zhejiang | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 25/06/25 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Zhejiang |
| 03/08/24 China Super League | Zhejiang | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 14/04/24 China Super League | Qingdao Hainiu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Zhejiang |
| 18/08/23 China Super League | Zhejiang | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Qingdao Hainiu |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 24 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 6 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Zhejiang | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zhejiang | Qingdao Hainiu |
|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Ironman | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Shanghai Port | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Yunnan Yukun | 2-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Qingdao Hainiu (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhejiang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Shaanxi Union China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Qingdao Hainiu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
4-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhejiang vs Qingdao Hainiu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zhejiang win (59%). Probabilities: Zhejiang 59%, draw 21%, Qingdao Hainiu 20%.
How many goals are expected in Zhejiang vs Qingdao Hainiu?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Zhejiang 2.43 · Qingdao Hainiu 1.39), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zhejiang vs Qingdao Hainiu?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.