Football · China Super League · 18/07, 13:00
Prediction: Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Zhejiang
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Chongqing Tonglianglong1.49
Zhejiang1.31
1X2
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw
Zhejiang
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chongqing Tonglianglong
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Zhejiang
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1–0
Zhejiang
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chongqing Tonglianglong 1509 · Zhejiang 1508
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | Draw | Zhejiang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | Zhejiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.8 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chongqing Tonglianglong 1–0–0 Zhejiang
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 China Super League | Zhejiang | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 42 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 24 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 20 |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 19 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chongqing Tonglianglong | Zhejiang |
|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Ironman | 1-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Yunnan Yukun | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Henan | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Zhejiang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Shaanxi Union China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Zhejiang?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chongqing Tonglianglong win (41%). Probabilities: Chongqing Tonglianglong 41%, draw 27%, Zhejiang 33%.
How many goals are expected in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Zhejiang?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Chongqing Tonglianglong 1.49 · Zhejiang 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Zhejiang?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.