Football · China Super League · 18/07, 13:35
Prediction: Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Shanghai Shenhua2
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.31
1X2
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Shenhua
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai Shenhua
4–2–0
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Shenhua (rating 1522 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Shanghai Shenhua: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Shenhua | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Shenhua 4–2–0 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 22/11/25 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 25/06/25 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 21/09/24 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 11/05/24 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 29/10/23 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shanghai Shenhua |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 41 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 24 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 19 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Shenhua | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Dalian Young Boy | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Qingdao West Coast | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanghai Shenhua (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Shenhua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Shenhua win (53%). Probabilities: Shanghai Shenhua 53%, draw 24%, Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 24%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Shanghai Shenhua 2 · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.