Football · China Super League · 18/07, 14:00
Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Wuhan Three Towns1.56
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1.68
1X2
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wuhan Three Towns
0-7-3 (W-D-L)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wuhan Three Towns
3–1–2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (rating 1445 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Wuhan Three Towns: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Three Towns | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns 3–1–2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 24/10/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 18/06/25 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 03/08/24 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 14/04/24 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 16/08/21 China Division 1 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Wuhan Three Towns |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 41 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 24 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 19 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Three Towns | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Dalian Young Boy | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Shandong Taishan | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China FA Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win (40%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 35%, draw 25%, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 40%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Wuhan Three Towns 1.56 · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1.68), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.