Football · China Super League · 17/07, 13:35
Prediction: Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Ironman
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
Beijing Guoan2.21
Liaoning Ironman1.47
1X2
Beijing Guoan
Draw
Liaoning Ironman
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Beijing Guoan
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Liaoning Ironman
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Beijing Guoan
3–1–2
Liaoning Ironman
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Guoan (rating 1557 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Beijing Guoan: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Guoan | Liaoning Ironman | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 7.3 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Guoan 3–1–2 Liaoning Ironman
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 13/08/17 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 29/04/17 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 14/09/16 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 23/04/16 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 12/09/15 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Beijing Guoan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 41 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 24 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 19 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Beijing Guoan | Liaoning Ironman |
|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Henan | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Shanghai Port | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Yunnan Yukun | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Henan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | D |
Liaoning Ironman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Ironman?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Beijing Guoan win (54%). Probabilities: Beijing Guoan 54%, draw 22%, Liaoning Ironman 24%.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Ironman?
The model expects 3.68 goals (Beijing Guoan 2.21 · Liaoning Ironman 1.47), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Ironman?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.