Football · China Super League · 17/07, 14:00
Prediction: Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Yunnan Yukun1.84
Shanghai Port1.78
1X2
Yunnan Yukun
Draw
Shanghai Port
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yunnan Yukun
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Shanghai Port
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yunnan Yukun
0–3
Shanghai Port
(3 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Port (rating 1486 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Shanghai Port: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yunnan Yukun | Shanghai Port | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yunnan Yukun 0–0–3 Shanghai Port
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 12/09/25 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 25/04/25 China Super League | Yunnan Yukun | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Shanghai Port |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 42 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 24 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 24 |
| 6 | Qingdao West Coast | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 28 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 20 |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 19 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yunnan Yukun | Shanghai Port |
|---|---|---|
| Henan | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 2-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Qingdao West Coast | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Liaoning Ironman | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Zhejiang | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yunnan Yukun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Suzhou Dongwu China FA Cup |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
Shanghai Port
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Henan China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Shanghai Segenda China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 15/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yunnan Yukun win (40%). Probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 40%, draw 24%, Shanghai Port 37%.
How many goals are expected in Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Yunnan Yukun 1.84 · Shanghai Port 1.78), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.