Prediction: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast
Expected goals: 2.78 (Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1.23 · Qingdao West Coast 1.54). The model gives 29% home, 27% draw, 43% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Qingdao West Coast 4-6-0 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Shenzhen Xinpengcheng and 5 for Qingdao West Coast, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qingdao West Coast (rating 1466 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Qingdao West Coast: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Qingdao West Coast | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7 | 2.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 0–1–5 Qingdao West Coast
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 28/09/25 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Qingdao West Coast |
| 06/05/25 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 22/09/24 China Super League | Qingdao West Coast | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
| 12/05/24 China Super League | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Qingdao West Coast |
| 02/09/23 China Division 1 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Qingdao West Coast |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 24 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 6 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Zhejiang | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | Qingdao West Coast |
|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Dalian Young Boy | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Port | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Zhejiang | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Qingdao West Coast (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 19/06 | Shenzhen Juniors China FA Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
Qingdao West Coast
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Qingdao West Coast win (43%). Probabilities: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 29%, draw 27%, Qingdao West Coast 43%.
How many goals are expected in Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1.23 · Qingdao West Coast 1.54), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Qingdao West Coast?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.