Football · Argentina Nacional B · 27/09, 20:30
Prediction: Almirante Brown vs Acassuso
Team pages: Almirante Brown · Acassuso
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.77Total
Almirante Brown1.29
Acassuso0.47
1X2
Almirante Brown
Draw
Acassuso
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Almirante Brown
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Acassuso
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almirante Brown
3–1–2
Acassuso
(6 last)
- Acassuso0-0Almirante Brown
- Almirante Brown2-1Acassuso
- Acassuso0-1Almirante Brown
- Acassuso0-1Almirante Brown
- Almirante Brown0-3Acassuso
- Acassuso1-0Almirante Brown
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almirante Brown 1530 · Acassuso 1441
| Almirante Brown | Draw | Acassuso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 31% | 13% |
| Market | 58% | 28% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.77 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almirante Brown (rating 1530 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Almirante Brown: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almirante Brown | Acassuso | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 1.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almirante Brown 3–1–2 Acassuso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Acassuso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 27/12/20 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Almirante Brown | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Acassuso |
| 10/11/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Almirante Brown |
| 07/05/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 25/11/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Almirante Brown | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Acassuso |
| 13/04/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Acassuso | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Almirante Brown |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 25 | 42 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 37 |
| 10 | CA Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 32 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 31 |
| 16 | CA San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24 | 34 | 31 |
| 17 | CA San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 34 | 26 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almirante Brown | Acassuso |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Mitre | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| All Boys | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Almirante Brown (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Acassuso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 26/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Almirante Brown win (57%). Probabilities: Almirante Brown 57%, draw 30%, Acassuso 13%.
How many goals are expected in Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?
The model expects 1.77 goals (Almirante Brown 1.29 · Acassuso 0.47), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Almirante Brown vs Acassuso?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.