Football · Japan L1 League Women · 20/09, 07:00

Prediction: Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)

Team pages: Setagaya Sfida (W) · Nittaidai FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Setagaya Sfida (W)2.01

Nittaidai FC (W)0.8

1X2

65% 21% 13%

Setagaya Sfida (W) Draw Nittaidai FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Setagaya Sfida (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDWDLLLW

Nittaidai FC (W) 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Setagaya Sfida (W) 2–2–2 Nittaidai FC (W) (6 last)

Nittaidai FC (W)2-3Setagaya Sfida (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)1-3Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)2-2Nittaidai FC (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)1-0Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)1-2Nittaidai FC (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)1-1Setagaya Sfida (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1502 · Nittaidai FC (W) 1382

	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Draw	Nittaidai FC (W)
Our model	65%	22%	13%
Market	66%	21%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Setagaya Sfida (W) (rating 1502 vs 1382).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Nittaidai FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	0.4 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.6	0.8 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.33

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:59 +9’	1.36	4.33	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Setagaya Sfida (W) 2–2–2 Nittaidai FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Setagaya Sfida (W)
15/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	1-3 HT 1-0	Setagaya Sfida (W)
06/04/25 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	Nittaidai FC (W)
16/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Setagaya Sfida (W)
07/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Nittaidai FC (W)
25/06/23 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Setagaya Sfida (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	18	11	3	4	49	13	36
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	17	9	5	3	26	12	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	17	9	5	3	31	19	32
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	17	8	5	4	19	14	29
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	18	8	3	7	32	27	27
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	17	7	3	7	23	28	24
8	AS Harima Albion (W)	18	5	5	8	19	24	20
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	17	5	4	8	25	29	19
10	Ehime FC (W)	17	5	4	8	18	33	19
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	17	3	1	13	15	49	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	17	2	1	14	10	40	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Nittaidai FC (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	2-0 W	0-8 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-3 L	1-3 L
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
AS Harima Albion (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	2-1 W	0-5 L
Ehime FC (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Vonds Ichihara (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 9 L

Better against common opponents: Setagaya Sfida (W) (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Setagaya Sfida (W)

WLDDWDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
05/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
08/08	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
21/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
13/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-2	3	0	D
07/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-1	5	1	W
24/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
17/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
03/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W

Nittaidai FC (W)

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
06/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
27/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
13/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-3	0-5	2	0	L
07/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
23/05	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
17/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
09/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-3	0-8	4	0	L
03/05	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-3	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Setagaya Sfida (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Setagaya Sfida (W) 65%, draw 21%, Nittaidai FC (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Setagaya Sfida (W) 2.01 · Nittaidai FC (W) 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.