Football · Japan L1 League Women · 27/09, 08:00

Prediction: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Team pages: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) · Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)1.27

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1.37

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Draw Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLLDW

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWDWLL

Head-to-head

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 3–1–2 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (6 last)

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1-2Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)0-1Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)1-1Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1-0Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)0-1Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)0-1Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1506 · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1511

	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	Draw	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Our model	33%	29%	38%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Okayama Yunogo Belle (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.1	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0	0.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:25 +36’	2.55	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 3–1–2 Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
08/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
30/03/25 Japan L1 League Women	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
28/04/18 Japan L2 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
10/09/16 Japan L1 League Women	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
17/04/16 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	18	11	3	4	49	13	36
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	18	9	5	4	26	14	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	18	9	5	4	32	24	32
5	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	19	9	3	7	34	28	30
6	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	18	8	5	5	21	17	29
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	18	8	3	7	28	29	27
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	19	6	4	9	28	32	22
9	Ehime FC (W)	18	6	4	8	21	35	22
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	18	5	5	8	19	24	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	19	4	1	14	19	53	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	19	3	1	15	12	41	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	5-1 W	0-0 D
AS Harima Albion (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-5 L	0-0 D
Ehime FC (W)	1-2 L	2-3 L
Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Vonds Ichihara (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	4-1 W	0-2 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-2 L	1-2 L
Nittaidai FC (W)	0-1 L	3-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	0-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

LLLWWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	5-1	1	1	W
13/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
06/09	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-5	0	0	L
28/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	1	0	L
21/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
13/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	4-1	4-1	5	2	W
23/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
17/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	11	0	L
10/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-4	2	0	L

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

WWWDLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-3	13	0	L
13/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
05/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	3	0	W
27/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
21/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
13/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
23/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	1	0	W
17/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Iga FC Kunoichi (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 34%, draw 27%, Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1.27 · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.