Football · Japan L1 League Women · 26/09, 06:00

Prediction: Nittaidai FC (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Team pages: Nittaidai FC (W) · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Nittaidai FC (W)1.16

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)2.12

1X2

19% 24% 58%

Nittaidai FC (W) Draw Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Nittaidai FC (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nittaidai FC (W) 2–1–3 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (6 last)

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)3-1Nittaidai FC (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)2-2Nittaidai FC (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)1-0Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)0-3Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1-0Nittaidai FC (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)2-6Nittaidai FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nittaidai FC (W) 1413 · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1541

	Nittaidai FC (W)	Draw	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Our model	19%	22%	58%
Market	18%	25%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (rating 1413 vs 1541).
H2H favours Yokohama FC Seagulls (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nittaidai FC (W)	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.5	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.9	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.00

X3.60

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.77

2 (-1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.12
X	4.00 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.84 ★
2	1.44 → 1.57▲	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:11 +4’	5.75	4.00	1.44
22:48 +3’	5.00▼	3.60▼	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:29 +45’	5.43	3.90	1.50
21:41 +70’	4.98▼	3.63▼	1.59▲
23:23 +37’	4.99▲	3.72▲	1.57▼
04:20 +71’	5.12▲	3.84▲	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nittaidai FC (W) 2–1–3 Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Nittaidai FC (W)
31/08/25 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	Nittaidai FC (W)
26/04/25 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
30/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
21/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Nittaidai FC (W)
24/09/23 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-6 HT 1-2	Nittaidai FC (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	18	11	3	4	49	13	36
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	18	9	5	4	26	14	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	18	9	5	4	32	24	32
5	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	19	9	3	7	34	28	30
6	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	18	8	5	5	21	17	29
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	18	8	3	7	28	29	27
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	19	6	4	9	28	32	22
9	Ehime FC (W)	18	6	4	8	21	35	22
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	18	5	5	8	19	24	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	19	4	1	14	19	53	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	19	3	1	15	12	41	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nittaidai FC (W)	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)	3-2 W	3-0 W
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	1-2 L	2-2 D
Vonds Ichihara (W)	1-2 L	4-0 W
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	0-5 L	1-0 W
Ehime FC (W)	0-1 L	1-3 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-3 L	2-0 W
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-0 W	1-4 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-8 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 8 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nittaidai FC (W)

LWLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	3-2	2	0	W
12/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
06/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
27/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
13/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-3	0-5	2	0	L
07/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
23/05	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
17/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W
09/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-3	0-8	4	0	L

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
13/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
05/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	3-0	3	0	W
08/08	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
20/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
14/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-2	6	0	D
07/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-4	1-4	5	2	L
24/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
16/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
09/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	4-0	8	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nittaidai FC (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Nittaidai FC (W) 19%, draw 24%, Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 58%.

How many goals are expected in Nittaidai FC (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Nittaidai FC (W) 1.16 · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 2.12), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nittaidai FC (W) vs Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.