Football · Japan L1 League Women · 20/09, 10:00

Prediction: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Team pages: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)1.84

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)0.96

1X2

57% 24% 19%

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Draw Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDWDLW

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLLD

Head-to-head

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 2–1 Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) (3 last)

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)1-3Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)1-2Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)0-2Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 1529 · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1465

	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Draw	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Our model	57%	25%	18%
Market	58%	24%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) (rating 1529 vs 1465).
H2H favours Viamaterras Miyazaki (W): 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.80

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:42 +28’	1.55	3.80	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 2–0–1 Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
05/10/25 Japan L1 League Women	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
23/03/25 Japan L1 League Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	18	11	3	4	49	13	36
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	17	9	5	3	26	12	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	17	9	5	3	31	19	32
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	17	8	5	4	19	14	29
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	18	8	3	7	32	27	27
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	17	7	3	7	23	28	24
8	AS Harima Albion (W)	18	5	5	8	19	24	20
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	17	5	4	8	25	29	19
10	Ehime FC (W)	17	5	4	8	18	33	19
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	17	3	1	13	15	49	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	17	2	1	14	10	40	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	1-3 L	0-0 D
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
Vonds Ichihara (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-2 D	4-1 W
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	2-0 W	1-5 L
Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Ehime FC (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	0-1 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

LWDWLDWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
05/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
27/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
21/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	3-1	7	0	W
14/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	2-2	9	0	D
07/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
24/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	9	1	W
17/05	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
03/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	3	1	L

Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)

WLLLWWWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
06/09	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-5	0	0	L
28/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	1	0	L
21/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
13/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	4-1	4-1	5	2	W
23/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
17/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	11	0	L
10/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-4	2	0	L
03/05	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 57%, draw 24%, Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 1.84 · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.