Football · Japan L1 League Women · 27/09, 06:00

Prediction: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Team pages: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)1.52

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)1.65

1X2

35% 26% 40%

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Draw Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWDLWL

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWWDL

Head-to-head

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 3–2 Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (5 last)

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)1-0Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)2-1Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)3-1Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)2-1Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)0-4Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 1486 · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1531

	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Draw	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Our model	35%	26%	40%
Market	35%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (rating 1486 vs 1531).
H2H favours Viamaterras Miyazaki (W): 3-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	2.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.8	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:55 +6’	2.60	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 3–0–2 Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
08/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
30/03/25 Japan L1 League Women	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)
30/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
21/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	18	11	3	4	49	13	36
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	18	9	5	4	26	14	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	18	9	5	4	32	24	32
5	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	19	9	3	7	34	28	30
6	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	18	8	5	5	21	17	29
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	18	8	3	7	28	29	27
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	19	6	4	9	28	32	22
9	Ehime FC (W)	18	6	4	8	21	35	22
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	18	5	5	8	19	24	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	19	4	1	14	19	53	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	19	3	1	15	12	41	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-5 L	4-0 W
Nittaidai FC (W)	2-1 W	5-0 W
AS Harima Albion (W)	1-3 L	5-0 W
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Vonds Ichihara (W)	3-1 W	5-1 W
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	0-2 L	0-3 L
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Setagaya Sfida (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Ehime FC (W)	3-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)

WDWLDWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-5	9	1	L
12/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
05/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
27/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
21/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	3-1	7	0	W
14/06	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	2-2	9	0	D
07/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
24/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	9	1	W
17/05	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	4	0	W

Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)

WLWLWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	3	0	L
13/09	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
05/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-1	3	1	W
28/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
21/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
13/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	5-0	4	0	W
07/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-2	13	1	L
23/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	4-1	5-1	5	1	W
17/05	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	5	0	L
10/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	4-0	3	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 35%, draw 26%, Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) 1.52 · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1.65), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.