Football · Japan L1 League Women · 04/10, 06:00
Prediction: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Team pages: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)1.14
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)2.36
1X2
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
Draw
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
0–5
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
(5 last)
- Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)4-0Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
- Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)5-1Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
- Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)0-2Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
- Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)1-0Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
- Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)1-4Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1479 · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 1541
| Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | Draw | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 20% | 64% |
| Market | 15% | 23% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (rating 1479 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W): 5-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 0.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 0–0–5 Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Japan L1 League Women | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) |
| 07/09/25 Japan L1 League Women | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) | 5-1 HT 5-0 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) |
| 04/05/25 Japan L1 League Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) |
| 10/07/22 Japan L2 League Women | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) |
| 18/04/21 Japan L2 League Women | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) |
Standings · Japan L1 League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 51 | 14 | 39 |
| 2 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 26 | 32 |
| 5 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 32 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 30 |
| 7 | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 27 |
| 8 | Ehime FC (W) | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 25 |
| 9 | Setagaya Sfida (W) | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 32 | 22 |
| 10 | AS Harima Albion (W) | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 20 |
| 11 | Nittaidai FC (W) | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 53 | 13 |
| 12 | Vonds Ichihara (W) | 19 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 41 | 10 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) | Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Iga FC Kunoichi (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| AS Harima Albion (W) | 0-0 D | 5-0 W |
| Orca Kamogawa FC (W) | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Ehime FC (W) | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Setagaya Sfida (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Vonds Ichihara (W) | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Loveledge Nagoya (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Nittaidai FC (W) | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/06 | Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | L |
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women |
4-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 16%, draw 21%, Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 63%.
How many goals are expected in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) 1.14 · Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) 2.36), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) vs Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.