Football · Japan L1 League Women · 04/10, 07:00

Prediction: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)

Team pages: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) · Vonds Ichihara (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1.65

Vonds Ichihara (W)1.02

1X2

52% 26% 23%

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Draw Vonds Ichihara (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Vonds Ichihara (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1–0 Vonds Ichihara (W) (1 last)

Vonds Ichihara (W)0-4Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1547 · Vonds Ichihara (W) 1455

	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Draw	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (rating 1547 vs 1455).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.6	2.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.4 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.60

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:26 +5’	1.73	3.60	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1–0–0 Vonds Ichihara (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Vonds Ichihara (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	19	12	3	4	51	14	39
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	18	9	5	4	26	14	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	19	9	5	5	33	26	32
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	19	9	5	5	25	18	32
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	19	9	3	7	34	28	30
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	19	8	3	8	29	33	27
8	Ehime FC (W)	19	7	4	8	24	35	25
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	19	6	4	9	28	32	22
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	19	5	5	9	19	27	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	19	4	1	14	19	53	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	19	3	1	15	12	41	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Vonds Ichihara (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-0 W	1-5 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	3-0 W	0-0 D
Setagaya Sfida (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-2 D	1-3 L
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-4 L	0-2 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	0-2 L	0-1 L
Ehime FC (W)	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
19/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	2	0	W
13/09	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
05/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	3-0	3	0	W
08/08	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
20/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
14/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-2	6	0	D
07/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-4	1-4	5	2	L
24/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
16/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-3	4	2	L

Vonds Ichihara (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	10	1	L
20/09	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-0	6	0	W
12/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
06/09	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	4	1	W
28/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
21/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-3	1	0	L
13/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
06/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
23/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-4	1-5	3	1	L
17/05	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 52%, draw 26%, Vonds Ichihara (W) 23%.

How many goals are expected in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1.65 · Vonds Ichihara (W) 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Vonds Ichihara (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.