Football · Japan L1 League Women · 04/10, 06:00

Prediction: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)

Team pages: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) · AS Harima Albion (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1.57

AS Harima Albion (W)0.83

1X2

55% 26% 20%

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Draw AS Harima Albion (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWDWLLW

AS Harima Albion (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLWDLL

Head-to-head

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 3–3–0 AS Harima Albion (W) (6 last)

AS Harima Albion (W)0-1Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)2-2Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1-0AS Harima Albion (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1-1AS Harima Albion (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1-1AS Harima Albion (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)0-2Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1542 · AS Harima Albion (W) 1478

	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	Draw	AS Harima Albion (W)
Our model	54%	28%	19%
Market	55%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (rating 1542 vs 1478).
H2H favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W): 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	AS Harima Albion (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	0.9 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.3 / 0	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.75

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +48’	1.61	3.75	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 3–3–0 AS Harima Albion (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
05/10/25 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
23/03/25 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	AS Harima Albion (W)
01/12/24 Japan Cup Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	AS Harima Albion (W)
20/10/24 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	AS Harima Albion (W)
17/03/24 Japan L1 League Women	AS Harima Albion (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	19	12	3	4	51	14	39
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	18	9	5	4	26	14	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	19	9	5	5	33	26	32
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	19	9	5	5	25	18	32
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	19	9	3	7	34	28	30
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	19	8	3	8	29	33	27
8	Ehime FC (W)	19	7	4	8	24	35	25
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	19	6	4	9	28	32	22
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	19	5	5	9	19	27	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	19	4	1	14	19	53	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	19	3	1	15	12	41	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	AS Harima Albion (W)
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	4-1 W	0-0 D
Ehime FC (W)	2-3 L	0-3 L
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	0-0 D	3-1 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-0 W	0-5 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Nittaidai FC (W)	3-0 W	1-0 W
Vonds Ichihara (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

WWDLWDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	4-1	9	2	W
20/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-3	13	0	L
13/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
05/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	3	0	W
27/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
21/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
13/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
23/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	1	0	W
17/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

AS Harima Albion (W)

LWWDWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
19/09	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
13/09	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
05/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
28/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
21/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
13/06	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-2	1	0	D
06/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
24/05	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
16/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Iga FC Kunoichi (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 55%, draw 26%, AS Harima Albion (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1.57 · AS Harima Albion (W) 0.83), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs AS Harima Albion (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.