Football · Japan L1 League Women · 03/10, 06:00

Prediction: Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)

Team pages: Loveledge Nagoya (W) · Nittaidai FC (W)

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Loveledge Nagoya (W)2.2

Nittaidai FC (W)0.86

1X2

68% 19% 13%

Loveledge Nagoya (W) Draw Nittaidai FC (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Loveledge Nagoya (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDLLW

Nittaidai FC (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Loveledge Nagoya (W) 4–1–1 Nittaidai FC (W) (6 last)

Nittaidai FC (W)0-8Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)2-1Nittaidai FC (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)1-1Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)2-1Nittaidai FC (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)1-2Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Nittaidai FC (W)4-1Loveledge Nagoya (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loveledge Nagoya (W) 1562 · Nittaidai FC (W) 1409

	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	Draw	Nittaidai FC (W)
Our model	67%	20%	12%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loveledge Nagoya (W) (rating 1562 vs 1409).
H2H favours Loveledge Nagoya (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	Nittaidai FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	0.8 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.8 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.30▲	Bet365 1.30
X	5.50 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.20
2	8.50 → 6.50▼	Pinn 8.73 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +22’	1.22	5.50	8.50
21:31 +3’	1.30▲	5.00▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:59 +36’	1.27	5.03	8.34
04:02 +24’	1.28▲	5.20▲	8.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Loveledge Nagoya (W) 4–1–1 Nittaidai FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	0-8 HT 0-3	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
07/06/25 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Nittaidai FC (W)
29/03/25 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
31/08/24 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Nittaidai FC (W)
28/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
27/08/23 Japan L1 League Women	Nittaidai FC (W)	4-1 HT 4-0	Loveledge Nagoya (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	19	12	3	4	51	14	39
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	18	9	5	4	26	14	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	19	9	5	5	33	26	32
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	19	9	5	5	25	18	32
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	19	9	3	7	34	28	30
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	19	8	3	8	29	33	27
8	Ehime FC (W)	19	7	4	8	24	35	25
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	19	6	4	9	28	32	22
10	AS Harima Albion (W)	19	5	5	9	19	27	20
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	19	4	1	14	19	53	13
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	19	3	1	15	12	41	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	Nittaidai FC (W)
AS Harima Albion (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Setagaya Sfida (W)	0-2 L	3-2 W
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-3 L	1-2 L
Vonds Ichihara (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Ehime FC (W)	6-0 W	0-1 L
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-1 W	0-3 L
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-0 W	1-2 L
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2-0 W	1-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	3-0 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Loveledge Nagoya (W) (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loveledge Nagoya (W)

WWWWWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-1	4	0	W
12/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-2	9	0	L
05/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-3	0-3	2	0	L
28/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	6-0	5	2	W
13/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
07/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
23/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
17/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
09/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	8-0	7	0	W

Nittaidai FC (W)

WLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	5	0	L
20/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	3-2	2	0	W
12/09	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
06/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-2	5	1	L
27/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
21/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
13/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-3	0-5	2	0	L
07/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-1	1	0	L
23/05	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
17/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Loveledge Nagoya (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Loveledge Nagoya (W) 68%, draw 19%, Nittaidai FC (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Loveledge Nagoya (W) 2.2 · Nittaidai FC (W) 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Loveledge Nagoya (W) vs Nittaidai FC (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.