Football · Japan L1 League Women · 05/09, 08:00

Prediction: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Loveledge Nagoya (W)

Team pages: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) · Loveledge Nagoya (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)1.25

Loveledge Nagoya (W)2.06

1X2

22% 24% 55%

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Draw Loveledge Nagoya (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLLDLW

Loveledge Nagoya (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1–1–4 Loveledge Nagoya (W) (6 last)

Loveledge Nagoya (W)1-1Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)3-0Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)0-3Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)4-3Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)2-0Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Loveledge Nagoya (W)2-1Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1477 · Loveledge Nagoya (W) 1612

	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Draw	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Our model	22%	23%	55%
Market	21%	24%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loveledge Nagoya (W) (rating 1477 vs 1612).
H2H favours Loveledge Nagoya (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	2.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.4	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.70

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 1 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:22 +15’	4.20	3.70	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1–1–4 Loveledge Nagoya (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
06/09/25 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
04/05/25 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
05/10/24 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	4-3 HT 2-1	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)
26/05/24 Japan L1 League Women	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
30/09/23 Japan L1 League Women	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	15	10	2	3	45	10	32
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	15	9	5	1	37	12	32
3	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	15	8	5	2	28	15	29
4	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	15	8	4	3	20	10	28
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	15	7	5	3	17	11	26
6	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	15	7	2	6	22	23	23
7	Ehime FC (W)	15	5	4	6	17	28	19
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	14	4	4	6	22	24	16
9	AS Harima Albion (W)	15	4	4	7	15	21	16
10	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	14	4	3	7	23	27	15
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	15	3	1	11	13	45	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	15	0	1	14	6	39	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	Loveledge Nagoya (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)	3-0 W	3-2 W
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	1-2 L	1-1 D
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	2-2 D	2-0 W
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-4 L	2-0 W
AS Harima Albion (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Ehime FC (W)	1-3 L	6-0 W
Vonds Ichihara (W)	4-0 W	0-0 D
Nittaidai FC (W)	3-1 W	8-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	2-2 D	3-0 W
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	8 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Loveledge Nagoya (W) (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
20/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
14/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-2	6	0	D
07/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-4	1-4	5	2	L
24/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-2	2	0	L
16/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
09/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	4-0	8	0	W
03/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	3-1	3	0	W
26/04	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-2	8	1	D
19/04	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-2	1	1	L

Loveledge Nagoya (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/06	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/06	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	6-0	5	2	W
13/06	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
07/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
23/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
17/05	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
09/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	3-0	8-0	7	0	W
02/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
26/04	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
18/04	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-2	3-2	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Loveledge Nagoya (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Loveledge Nagoya (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 22%, draw 24%, Loveledge Nagoya (W) 55%.

How many goals are expected in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Loveledge Nagoya (W)?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) 1.25 · Loveledge Nagoya (W) 2.06), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) vs Loveledge Nagoya (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.