Football · Japan L1 League Women · 05/09, 09:00

Prediction: Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Team pages: Setagaya Sfida (W) · Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Setagaya Sfida (W)1.09

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1.43

1X2

28% 28% 44%

Setagaya Sfida (W) Draw Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Setagaya Sfida (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDWDLL

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWDLWD

Head-to-head

Setagaya Sfida (W) 0–3–3 Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (6 last)

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)2-1Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)2-2Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)3-2Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)0-1Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)2-2Setagaya Sfida (W)
Setagaya Sfida (W)0-0Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Setagaya Sfida (W) 1473 · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1558

	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Draw	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Our model	28%	29%	43%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (rating 1473 vs 1558).
H2H favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W): 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.6	2.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.40

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:33 +5’	3.10	3.40	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Setagaya Sfida (W) 0–3–3 Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Setagaya Sfida (W)
07/09/25 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-2 HT 2-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
04/05/25 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	3-2 HT 1-0	Setagaya Sfida (W)
22/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
14/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-2 HT 0-2	Setagaya Sfida (W)
24/09/23 Japan L1 League Women	Setagaya Sfida (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	15	10	2	3	45	10	32
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	15	9	5	1	37	12	32
3	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	15	8	5	2	28	15	29
4	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	15	8	4	3	20	10	28
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	15	7	5	3	17	11	26
6	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	15	7	2	6	22	23	23
7	Ehime FC (W)	15	5	4	6	17	28	19
8	Setagaya Sfida (W)	14	4	4	6	22	24	16
9	AS Harima Albion (W)	15	4	4	7	15	21	16
10	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	14	4	3	7	23	27	15
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	15	3	1	11	13	45	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	15	0	1	14	6	39	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Setagaya Sfida (W)	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-3 L	2-1 W
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	0-2 L	1-2 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	2-2 D	1-0 W
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	2-1 W	1-0 W
Ehime FC (W)	0-0 D	1-0 W
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Vonds Ichihara (W)	2-0 W	2-1 W
Nittaidai FC (W)	3-2 W	3-0 W
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Setagaya Sfida (W)

LWWLDDWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
21/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
13/06	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-2	3	0	D
07/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	2-1	5	1	W
24/05	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
17/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
03/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
25/04	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	3-2	5	0	W
18/04	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-1	2-3	3	1	L

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

WWLWWWDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
21/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
13/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
23/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	1	0	W
17/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	10	0	L
26/04	Ehime FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/04	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	2-1	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Iga FC Kunoichi (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Setagaya Sfida (W) 28%, draw 28%, Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Setagaya Sfida (W) 1.09 · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Setagaya Sfida (W) vs Iga FC Kunoichi (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.