Football · Japan L1 League Women · 20/09, 06:00

Prediction: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Ehime FC (W)

Team pages: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) · Ehime FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)1.71

Ehime FC (W)0.83

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) Draw Ehime FC (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLWDWL

Ehime FC (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWDWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 4–1–1 Ehime FC (W) (6 last)

Ehime FC (W)0-1Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)5-0Ehime FC (W)
Ehime FC (W)1-1Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Ehime FC (W)1-2Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)0-1Ehime FC (W)
Iga FC Kunoichi (W)2-1Ehime FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1550 · Ehime FC (W) 1441

	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	Draw	Ehime FC (W)
Our model	57%	26%	17%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (rating 1550 vs 1441).
H2H favours Iga FC Kunoichi (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	Ehime FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	2.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.1 / 0	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:06 +2’	1.53	3.80	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 4–1–1 Ehime FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
21/09/25 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	5-0 HT 2-0	Ehime FC (W)
17/05/25 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
16/06/24 Japan L1 League Women	Ehime FC (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)
07/04/24 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Ehime FC (W)
17/06/23 Japan L1 League Women	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Ehime FC (W)

Standings · Japan L1 League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	18	11	3	4	49	13	36
2	Loveledge Nagoya (W)	18	10	5	3	39	18	35
3	Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	17	9	5	3	26	12	32
4	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	17	9	5	3	31	19	32
5	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	17	8	5	4	19	14	29
6	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	18	8	3	7	32	27	27
7	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	17	7	3	7	23	28	24
8	AS Harima Albion (W)	18	5	5	8	19	24	20
9	Setagaya Sfida (W)	17	5	4	8	25	29	19
10	Ehime FC (W)	17	5	4	8	18	33	19
11	Nittaidai FC (W)	17	3	1	13	15	49	10
12	Vonds Ichihara (W)	17	2	1	14	10	40	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Iga FC Kunoichi (W)	Ehime FC (W)
Yokohama FC Seagulls (W)	0-2 L	3-1 W
Setagaya Sfida (W)	2-1 W	0-0 D
Viamaterras Miyazaki (W)	0-0 D	0-3 L
Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
Loveledge Nagoya (W)	1-2 L	0-6 L
Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Nittaidai FC (W)	3-0 W	1-0 W
Vonds Ichihara (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
AS Harima Albion (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Iga FC Kunoichi (W)

LWWWDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
05/09	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	2-1	3	0	W
27/06	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
21/06	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
13/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
23/05	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-0	1	0	W
17/05	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	1-2	10	0	L

Ehime FC (W)

DLWDWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Vonds Ichihara (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
05/09	Shizuoka SSU Bonita (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-3	1	1	L
28/06	Okayama Yunogo Belle (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	2-1	3	0	W
20/06	Loveledge Nagoya (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	0-6	1	2	L
14/06	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-1	1-2	9	0	L
07/06	Nittaidai FC (W) Japan L1 League Women	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
24/05	Setagaya Sfida (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-0	0-0	10	0	D
16/05	Yokohama FC Seagulls (W) Japan L1 League Women	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
10/05	Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-2	0-3	3	0	L
02/05	AS Harima Albion (W) Japan L1 League Women	0-1	1-1	4	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Iga FC Kunoichi (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 58%, draw 25%, Ehime FC (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Iga FC Kunoichi (W) 1.71 · Ehime FC (W) 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Iga FC Kunoichi (W) vs Ehime FC (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.