Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 11/09, 20:45

Prediction: Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers

Team pages: Kerry FC · Bray Wanderers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Kerry FC1.86

Bray Wanderers1.4

1X2

48% 25% 28%

Kerry FC Draw Bray Wanderers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kerry FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWLDWW

Bray Wanderers 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Kerry FC 2–1–3 Bray Wanderers (6 last)

Bray Wanderers0-4Kerry FC
Kerry FC2-2Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers2-1Kerry FC
Bray Wanderers5-1Kerry FC
Kerry FC2-1Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers4-2Kerry FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kerry FC	Bray Wanderers
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.9	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 13:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.62 → 2.84▲	Pinn 2.84
X	3.78 → 3.84▲	Pinn 3.84
2	2.32 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.20

See the full journey (5)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:42 +36’	2.62	3.78	2.32
21:45 +80’	2.65▲	3.83▲	2.34▲
02:39 +69’	2.55▼	3.87▲	2.40▲
08:44 +54’	2.61▲	3.84▼	2.36▼
13:06 +8’	2.84▲	3.84	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kerry FC 2–1–3 Bray Wanderers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	0-4 HT 0-1	Kerry FC
22/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Bray Wanderers
27/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	2-1 HT 0-1	Kerry FC
17/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	5-1 HT 2-0	Kerry FC
20/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Bray Wanderers
25/04/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	4-2 HT 2-0	Kerry FC

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	30	21	5	4	62	26	68
2	UCD	30	14	6	10	53	38	48
3	Bray Wanderers	30	12	8	10	58	44	44
4	Kerry FC	30	11	9	10	39	35	42
5	Cobh Ramblers	30	12	6	12	35	41	42
6	Longford Town	30	11	8	11	41	39	41
7	Athlone Town	30	11	7	12	31	34	40
8	Wexford FC	30	10	7	13	33	43	37
9	Treaty United FC	30	7	9	14	29	45	30
10	Finn Harps	30	5	7	18	26	62	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kerry FC	Bray Wanderers
Longford Town	1-0 W	2-4 L
UCD	1-1 D	6-0 W
Cork City	1-3 L	1-1 D
Cobh Ramblers	3-0 W	2-1 W
Finn Harps	2-1 W	5-0 W
Wexford FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kerry FC

WLDWWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
28/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
21/08	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
07/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-3	5	7	L
03/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-0	3-0	4	8	W
31/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
24/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
10/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	9	4	D
03/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-2	2	8	L
26/06	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-1	4	0	W

Bray Wanderers

LWWWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
28/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
22/08	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-3	2-4	9	6	L
07/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
03/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	1-2	6	10	L
31/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
24/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
10/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	6-0	2	3	W
03/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
26/06	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kerry FC win (48%). Probabilities: Kerry FC 48%, draw 25%, Bray Wanderers 28%.

How many goals are expected in Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Kerry FC 1.86 · Bray Wanderers 1.4), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.