Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 18/09, 20:45

Prediction: Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United FC

Team pages: Bray Wanderers · Treaty United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Bray Wanderers1.76

Treaty United FC1.08

1X2

52% 26% 22%

Bray Wanderers Draw Treaty United FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bray Wanderers 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Treaty United FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers 3–2–1 Treaty United FC (6 last)

Treaty United FC2-2Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers2-2Treaty United FC
Treaty United FC0-1Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers1-0Treaty United FC
Treaty United FC2-1Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers3-2Treaty United FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bray Wanderers (rating 1529 vs 1482).
H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bray Wanderers	Treaty United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.6	1.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.5	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.92

Under 31.87

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.40▲	Pinn 1.40
X	5.13 → 5.14▲	Pinn 5.14
2	5.93 → 5.94▲	Pinn 5.94

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:44 +27’	1.38	5.13	5.93
22:12 +60’	1.39▲	5.23▲	6.05▲
23:45 +18’	1.40▲	5.17▼	6.01▼
10:10 +45’	1.40▲	5.14▼	5.94▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bray Wanderers 3–2–1 Treaty United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Treaty United FC	2-2 HT 2-2	Bray Wanderers
01/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	2-2 HT 0-1	Treaty United FC
20/02/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Treaty United FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Bray Wanderers
02/11/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	1-0 HT 0-0	Treaty United FC
10/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Treaty United FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Bray Wanderers
01/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Bray Wanderers	3-2 HT 0-1	Treaty United FC

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	31	21	5	5	64	29	68
2	UCD	31	14	7	10	55	40	49
3	Bray Wanderers	31	13	8	10	59	44	47
4	Cobh Ramblers	31	13	6	12	38	43	45
5	Kerry FC	31	11	9	11	39	36	42
6	Longford Town	31	11	8	12	41	41	41
7	Athlone Town	31	11	8	12	33	36	41
8	Wexford FC	31	10	7	14	34	46	37
9	Treaty United FC	31	8	9	14	31	45	33
10	Finn Harps	31	6	7	18	29	63	25

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bray Wanderers	Treaty United FC
Kerry FC	1-0 W	1-3 L
Cork City	1-1 D	2-2 D
Athlone Town	1-2 L	2-1 W
Longford Town	2-4 L	2-0 W
Finn Harps	5-0 W	1-0 W
Wexford FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Cobh Ramblers	2-1 W	0-2 L
UCD	6-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bray Wanderers (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bray Wanderers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
04/09	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
28/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
22/08	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-3	2-4	9	6	L
07/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
03/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	1-2	6	10	L
31/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
24/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
10/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	6-0	2	3	W
03/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	4	7	W

Treaty United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/09	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
28/08	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
21/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
07/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-2	2	6	L
03/08	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
31/07	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
24/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-1	4	0	W
10/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
03/07	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-1	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bray Wanderers win (52%). Probabilities: Bray Wanderers 52%, draw 26%, Treaty United FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United FC?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Bray Wanderers 1.76 · Treaty United FC 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.