Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 18/09, 20:45

Prediction: Athlone Town vs Kerry FC

Team pages: Athlone Town · Kerry FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

Athlone Town1.36

Kerry FC0.84

1X2

48% 30% 22%

Athlone Town Draw Kerry FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Athlone Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWWWWD

Kerry FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLDWWL

Head-to-head

Athlone Town 1–3–2 Kerry FC (6 last)

Kerry FC1-0Athlone Town
Athlone Town0-0Kerry FC
Kerry FC0-1Athlone Town
Athlone Town0-0Kerry FC
Kerry FC4-0Athlone Town
Kerry FC1-1Athlone Town

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kerry FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Athlone Town	Kerry FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.20
X	3.36 → 3.35▼	Pinn 3.35
2	3.19 → 3.19	Pinn 3.19

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:16 +426’	2.20	3.36	3.19
09:21 +347’	2.20	3.35▼	3.19

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Athlone Town 1–3–2 Kerry FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Athlone Town
01/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Kerry FC
20/02/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Athlone Town
22/09/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Athlone Town	0-0 HT 0-0	Kerry FC
01/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division	Kerry FC	4-0 HT 3-0	Athlone Town
18/07/25 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	Kerry FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Athlone Town

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	31	21	5	5	64	29	68
2	UCD	31	14	7	10	55	40	49
3	Bray Wanderers	31	13	8	10	59	44	47
4	Cobh Ramblers	31	13	6	12	38	43	45
5	Kerry FC	31	11	9	11	39	36	42
6	Longford Town	31	11	8	12	41	41	41
7	Athlone Town	31	11	8	12	33	36	41
8	Wexford FC	31	10	7	14	34	46	37
9	Treaty United FC	31	8	9	14	31	45	33
10	Finn Harps	31	6	7	18	29	63	25

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Athlone Town	Kerry FC
UCD	2-2 D	1-1 D
Finn Harps	1-0 W	2-1 W
Bray Wanderers	2-1 W	0-1 L
Wexford FC	2-0 W	2-2 D
Longford Town	2-1 W	1-0 W
Cork City	2-3 L	1-3 L
Treaty United FC	1-2 L	3-1 W
Cobh Ramblers	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Athlone Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	8	2	D
04/09	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
28/08	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
21/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
07/08	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	2-1	0	7	W
03/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-3	2-3	8	4	L
31/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
24/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-2	3	0	L
10/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
03/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	8	7	L

Kerry FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
05/09	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
28/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
21/08	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
07/08	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-3	5	7	L
03/08	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	3-0	3-0	4	8	W
31/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
24/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
10/07	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	9	4	D
03/07	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-2	2	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Athlone Town vs Kerry FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Athlone Town win (48%). Probabilities: Athlone Town 48%, draw 30%, Kerry FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Athlone Town vs Kerry FC?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Athlone Town 1.36 · Kerry FC 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Athlone Town vs Kerry FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.