Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 18/09, 20:45

Prediction: Cork City vs UCD

Team pages: Cork City · UCD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

Cork City2.19

UCD1.58

1X2

51% 22% 27%

Cork City Draw UCD

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Cork City 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDWDL

UCD 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWDWDD

Head-to-head

Cork City 3–2–1 UCD (6 last)

UCD5-2Cork City
Cork City3-1UCD
UCD0-1Cork City
UCD0-1Cork City
Cork City0-0UCD
UCD0-0Cork City

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cork City: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cork City	UCD
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.8	2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 7.7	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.97

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.58 → 1.50▼	Pinn 1.50
X	4.01 → 4.21▲	Pinn 4.21
2	5.25 → 5.84▲	Pinn 5.84

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
22:15 +426’	1.58	4.01	5.25
20:08 +63’	1.50▼	4.21▲	5.84▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cork City 3–2–1 UCD

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	5-2 HT 2-2	Cork City
08/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	Cork City	3-1 HT 1-0	UCD
20/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	0-1 HT 0-0	Cork City
06/09/24 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	0-1 HT 0-0	Cork City
03/06/24 Republic of Ireland First Division	Cork City	0-0 HT 0-0	UCD
12/04/24 Republic of Ireland First Division	UCD	0-0 HT 0-0	Cork City

Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cork City	31	21	5	5	64	29	68
2	UCD	31	14	7	10	55	40	49
3	Bray Wanderers	31	13	8	10	59	44	47
4	Cobh Ramblers	31	13	6	12	38	43	45
5	Kerry FC	31	11	9	11	39	36	42
6	Longford Town	31	11	8	12	41	41	41
7	Athlone Town	31	11	8	12	33	36	41
8	Wexford FC	31	10	7	14	34	46	37
9	Treaty United FC	31	8	9	14	31	45	33
10	Finn Harps	31	6	7	18	29	63	25

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cork City	UCD
Cobh Ramblers	2-3 L	1-1 D
Bray Wanderers	1-1 D	0-6 L
Wexford FC	2-0 W	4-1 W
Treaty United FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Kerry FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Athlone Town	3-2 W	2-2 D
Finn Harps	3-0 W	5-4 W
Longford Town	3-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cork City (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cork City

WLLWWWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	2-3	5	4	L
04/09	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
28/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
21/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
07/08	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-1	3-1	11	7	W
03/08	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	3-1	3-2	9	4	W
31/07	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	3-0	11	5	W
24/07	UCD Republic of Ireland First Division	2-2	2-5	7	5	L
10/07	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	3-4	10	2	L
03/07	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-0	7	3	W

UCD

LLWDLWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
04/09	Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
28/08	Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division	1-2	5-4	8	5	W
21/08	Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
07/08	Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division	2-0	4-1	7	1	W
03/08	Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
31/07	Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
24/07	Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division	2-2	5-2	6	5	W
10/07	Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division	0-2	0-6	4	3	L
04/07	Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division	1-0	1-2	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cork City vs UCD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cork City win (51%). Probabilities: Cork City 51%, draw 22%, UCD 27%.

How many goals are expected in Cork City vs UCD?

The model expects 3.77 goals (Cork City 2.19 · UCD 1.58), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cork City vs UCD?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.