Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 12/09, 20:30
Prediction: Longford Town vs Treaty United FC
Team pages: Longford Town · Treaty United FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Longford Town1.85
Treaty United FC1.04
1X2
Longford Town
Draw
Treaty United FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Longford Town
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Treaty United FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Longford Town
4–1–1
Treaty United FC
(6 last)
- Treaty United FC0-1Longford Town
- Longford Town3-1Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC0-0Longford Town
- Treaty United FC1-2Longford Town
- Longford Town2-0Treaty United FC
- Treaty United FC5-1Longford Town
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Longford Town (rating 1524 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Longford Town: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Longford Town | Treaty United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Longford Town 4–1–1 Treaty United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Longford Town |
| 29/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 03/04/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Longford Town |
| 05/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Longford Town |
| 09/08/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Longford Town | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Treaty United FC |
| 23/05/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Treaty United FC | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Longford Town |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 26 | 68 |
| 2 | UCD | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 48 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 44 | 44 |
| 4 | Kerry FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 42 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 41 | 42 |
| 6 | Longford Town | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 39 | 41 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 40 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 37 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 45 | 30 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 62 | 22 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Longford Town | Treaty United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry FC | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Cobh Ramblers | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Athlone Town | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Finn Harps | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Wexford FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Cork City | 4-3 W | 2-2 D |
| UCD | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Longford Town (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Longford Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 03/08 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/07 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
Treaty United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 26/06 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Longford Town vs Treaty United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Longford Town win (55%). Probabilities: Longford Town 55%, draw 25%, Treaty United FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Longford Town vs Treaty United FC?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Longford Town 1.85 · Treaty United FC 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Longford Town vs Treaty United FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.