Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 05/07, 14:00

Prediction: JK Trans Narva II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Expected goals: 4.44 (JK Trans Narva II 2.44 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 2). The model gives 47% home, 21% draw, 32% away. Over 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (64%). Most likely score: 2-2.

On recent form, JK Trans Narva II is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and JK Viljandi Tulevik 7-1-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, JK Trans Narva II won 3 and JK Viljandi Tulevik 1, with 2 draws.

47%1
47% 21% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Trans Narva II 1538 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1546
JK Trans Narva IIDrawJK Viljandi Tulevik
Our model48%20%32%
Market47%21%31%
Estimated total (ours) 4.44 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.44JK Trans Narva II 2.44 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 2
Over / Under 4.25Over 4.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 64%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours JK Trans Narva II: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JK Trans Narva IIJK Viljandi Tulevik
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.73.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.71.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 7.32.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.24.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Trans Narva II 321 JK Viljandi Tulevik

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Estonia Esiliiga B
JK Viljandi Tulevik0-1
HT 0-1
JK Trans Narva II
10/11/24
Estonia Esiliiga B
JK Trans Narva II4-2
HT 0-0
JK Viljandi Tulevik
21/07/24
Estonia Esiliiga B
JK Viljandi Tulevik1-1
HT 0-1
JK Trans Narva II
30/05/24
Estonia Esiliiga B
JK Viljandi Tulevik3-1
HT 1-1
JK Trans Narva II
05/05/24
Estonia Esiliiga B
JK Trans Narva II2-0
HT 1-0
JK Viljandi Tulevik
02/10/23
Estonia Esiliiga B
JK Viljandi Tulevik1-1
HT 0-0
JK Trans Narva II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 JK Tammeka Tartu II 171124 503335
2 JK Viljandi Tulevik 171115 543534
3 JK Trans Narva II 16925 412529
4 Parnu JK Vaprus II 17926 463629
5 Johvi FC Phoenix 17917 424328
6 FC Levadia Tallinn U19 17827 413126
7 Tabasalu FC Charma 17809 294224
8 FA Tartu Kalev 17719 373722
9 JK Tallinna Kalev II 173212 344011
10 Tallinna JK Legion 162113 12647

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJK Trans Narva IIJK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Tallinna Kalev II 3-2 W 4-3 W
FA Tartu Kalev 3-2 W 4-3 W
Tabasalu FC Charma 5-0 W 3-2 W
Johvi FC Phoenix 1-1 D 4-2 W
JK Tammeka Tartu II 1-2 L 2-2 D
Parnu JK Vaprus II 0-4 L 5-3 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U19 4-4 D 2-3 L
Tallinna JK Legion 5-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 2 L 6 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Trans Narva II

WWLDLLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/06 JK Tallinna Kalev II
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-1 3-2 71 W
18/06 FA Tartu Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-0 3-2 84 W
31/05 Tabasalu FC Charma
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-0 5-0 73 W
28/05 Johvi FC Phoenix
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-1 1-1 66 D
24/05 JK Tammeka Tartu II
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-1 1-2 611 L
17/05 Parnu JK Vaprus II
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-4 0-4 126 L
10/05 FC Levadia Tallinn U19
Estonia Esiliiga B
4-0 4-4 50 D
06/05 Tabasalu FC Charma
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-0 0-1 72 L
02/05 Tallinna JK Legion
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-0 5-0 72 W
23/04 JK Tammeka Tartu II
Estonia Esiliiga B
3-0 4-1 83 W

JK Viljandi Tulevik

WLWWWWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/06 JK Tammeka Tartu II
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-0 2-2 44 D
19/06 FC Levadia Tallinn U19
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-2 2-3 64 L
13/06 FA Tartu Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-1 4-3 25 W
06/06 Johvi FC Phoenix
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-1 4-2 93 W
24/05 Tabasalu FC Charma
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-0 3-2 W
16/05 Tallinna JK Legion
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-0 3-0 W
10/05 JK Tallinna Kalev II
Estonia Esiliiga B
3-1 4-3 75 W
02/05 FC Levadia Tallinn U19
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-2 5-2 34 W
26/04 JK Tammeka Tartu II
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-3 1-3 14 L
23/04 Parnu JK Vaprus II
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-2 5-3 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Trans Narva II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Trans Narva II win (47%). Probabilities: JK Trans Narva II 47%, draw 21%, JK Viljandi Tulevik 32%.

How many goals are expected in JK Trans Narva II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model expects 4.44 goals (JK Trans Narva II 2.44 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 2), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Trans Narva II vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.