Prediction: Johvi FC Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus II
| Johvi FC Phoenix | Draw | Parnu JK Vaprus II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| Market | 47% | 20% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parnu JK Vaprus II (rating 1499 vs 1555).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Johvi FC Phoenix | Parnu JK Vaprus II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2.3 | 3.4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johvi FC Phoenix 1–0–1 Parnu JK Vaprus II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 4-3 HT 0-1 | Parnu JK Vaprus II |
| 03/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 35 |
| 2 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 34 |
| 3 | JK Trans Narva II | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 32 |
| 4 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 54 | 38 | 32 |
| 5 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 29 |
| 7 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 50 | 24 |
| 8 | FA Tartu Kalev | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 40 | 22 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 42 | 14 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 67 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Johvi FC Phoenix | Parnu JK Vaprus II |
|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Tallinna JK Legion | 6-1 W | 4-1 W |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 2-4 L | 2-3 L |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 2-4 L | 3-5 L |
| JK Trans Narva II | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FA Tartu Kalev | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Parnu JK Vaprus II (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johvi FC Phoenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 18/06 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | FC Elva III Estonia Cup |
1-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 7 | W |
Parnu JK Vaprus II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
4-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
5-0 | 7-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 28/04 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johvi FC Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Johvi FC Phoenix win (47%). Probabilities: Johvi FC Phoenix 47%, draw 20%, Parnu JK Vaprus II 33%.
How many goals are expected in Johvi FC Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus II?
The model expects 4.71 goals (Johvi FC Phoenix 2.55 · Parnu JK Vaprus II 2.16), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Johvi FC Phoenix vs Parnu JK Vaprus II?
The model gives a 65% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.