Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 11/07, 18:00

Prediction: Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.54Total
Tabasalu FC Charma1.94
JK Viljandi Tulevik2.61
1X2
28% 20% 52%
Tabasalu FC Charma Draw JK Viljandi Tulevik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Tabasalu FC Charma 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLWWWW
JK Viljandi Tulevik 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWWLDL
Head-to-head
Tabasalu FC Charma 0–2 JK Viljandi Tulevik (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tabasalu FC Charma 1532 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1554
Tabasalu FC CharmaDrawJK Viljandi Tulevik
Our model28%20%52%
Market28%20%52%
Estimated total (ours) 4.54 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours JK Viljandi Tulevik: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tabasalu FC CharmaJK Viljandi Tulevik
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 22.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.71.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 6.93 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.13.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabasalu FC Charma 002 JK Viljandi Tulevik

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
Estonia Esiliiga B
JK Viljandi Tulevik3-2
HT 2-0
Tabasalu FC Charma
07/03/26
Estonia Esiliiga B
JK Viljandi Tulevik6-1
HT 2-1
Tabasalu FC Charma

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 JK Tammeka Tartu II 181125 523635
2 JK Viljandi Tulevik 181116 553734
3 JK Trans Narva II 171025 432632
4 Parnu JK Vaprus II 181026 543832
5 Johvi FC Phoenix 181017 454531
6 FC Levadia Tallinn U19 18927 443329
7 Tabasalu FC Charma 188010 315024
8 FA Tartu Kalev 187110 394022
9 JK Tallinna Kalev II 184212 374214
10 Tallinna JK Legion 172114 14677

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTabasalu FC CharmaJK Viljandi Tulevik
FA Tartu Kalev 3-1 W 4-3 W
JK Tammeka Tartu II 3-1 W 2-2 D
JK Tallinna Kalev II 2-1 W 4-3 W
JK Trans Narva II 0-5 L 1-2 L
Tallinna JK Legion 2-3 L 3-0 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U19 0-5 L 2-3 L
Johvi FC Phoenix 2-1 W 4-2 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JK Viljandi Tulevik (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tabasalu FC Charma

WWLLLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 FC Tallinna Wolves
Estonia Cup
5-0 10-0 W
21/06 FA Tartu Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-1 3-1 104 W
18/06 JK Tammeka Tartu II
Estonia Esiliiga B
3-0 3-1 W
13/06 JK Tallinna Kalev II
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-0 2-1 84 W
31/05 JK Trans Narva II
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-2 0-5 33 L
27/05 Tallinna JK Legion
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-0 2-3 53 L
24/05 JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-2 2-3 L
17/05 FC Levadia Tallinn U19
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-1 0-5 72 L
09/05 Johvi FC Phoenix
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-1 2-1 32 W
06/05 JK Trans Narva II
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-0 1-0 122 W

JK Viljandi Tulevik

LWWWWWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 JK Trans Narva II
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-0 1-2 44 L
22/06 JK Tammeka Tartu II
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-0 2-2 44 D
19/06 FC Levadia Tallinn U19
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-2 2-3 64 L
13/06 FA Tartu Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-1 4-3 25 W
06/06 Johvi FC Phoenix
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-1 4-2 93 W
24/05 Tabasalu FC Charma
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-0 3-2 W
16/05 Tallinna JK Legion
Estonia Esiliiga B
1-0 3-0 W
10/05 JK Tallinna Kalev II
Estonia Esiliiga B
3-1 4-3 75 W
02/05 FC Levadia Tallinn U19
Estonia Esiliiga B
2-2 5-2 34 W
26/04 JK Tammeka Tartu II
Estonia Esiliiga B
0-3 1-3 14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Viljandi Tulevik win (52%). Probabilities: Tabasalu FC Charma 28%, draw 20%, JK Viljandi Tulevik 52%.

How many goals are expected in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model expects 4.54 goals (Tabasalu FC Charma 1.94 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 2.61), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.