Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 12/07, 14:00
Prediction: FA Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna JK Legion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.46Total
FA Tartu Kalev2.69
Tallinna JK Legion1.77
1X2
FA Tartu Kalev
Draw
Tallinna JK Legion
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FA Tartu Kalev
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Tallinna JK Legion
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FA Tartu Kalev
4–2
Tallinna JK Legion
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FA Tartu Kalev (rating 1466 vs 1383).
- H2H favours FA Tartu Kalev: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FA Tartu Kalev | Tallinna JK Legion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.6 | 1 / 4.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.1 / 2.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 0/10/90% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.5 | 1 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FA Tartu Kalev 4–0–2 Tallinna JK Legion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tallinna JK Legion | 0-6 HT 0-3 | FA Tartu Kalev |
| 11/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tallinna JK Legion |
| 01/11/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Tallinna JK Legion |
| 02/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tallinna JK Legion | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FA Tartu Kalev |
| 05/07/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tallinna JK Legion |
| 19/04/25 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tallinna JK Legion | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FA Tartu Kalev |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 35 |
| 2 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 34 |
| 3 | JK Trans Narva II | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 32 |
| 4 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 54 | 38 | 32 |
| 5 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 29 |
| 7 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 50 | 27 |
| 8 | FA Tartu Kalev | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 40 | 22 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 42 | 14 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 67 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FA Tartu Kalev | Tallinna JK Legion |
|---|---|---|
| Tabasalu FC Charma | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| JK Trans Narva II | 2-3 L | 0-5 L |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 3-4 L | 0-3 L |
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | 2-7 L | 2-3 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 2-0 W | 0-6 L |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 2-2 D | 0-12 L |
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Johvi FC Phoenix | 3-4 L | 1-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: FA Tartu Kalev (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FA Tartu Kalev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | Paide Linnameeskond III Estonia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 2-7 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 01/05 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
Tallinna JK Legion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 1-6 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-5 | 0-12 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FA Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna JK Legion?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FA Tartu Kalev win (57%). Probabilities: FA Tartu Kalev 57%, draw 19%, Tallinna JK Legion 24%.
How many goals are expected in FA Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna JK Legion?
The model expects 4.46 goals (FA Tartu Kalev 2.69 · Tallinna JK Legion 1.77), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FA Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna JK Legion?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.