Prediction: Tabasalu FC Charma vs Parnu JK Vaprus II
Expected goals: 4.42 (Tabasalu FC Charma 2.03 · Parnu JK Vaprus II 2.38). The model gives 33% home, 21% draw, 46% away. Under 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (64%). Most likely score: 2-2.
Recent form leaves Tabasalu FC Charma with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Parnu JK Vaprus II has piled up 6-1-3 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Tabasalu FC Charma won 2 and Parnu JK Vaprus II 1.
| Tabasalu FC Charma | Draw | Parnu JK Vaprus II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 21% | 46% |
| Market | 33% | 21% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Tabasalu FC Charma: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tabasalu FC Charma | Parnu JK Vaprus II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 2 | 3.4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.9 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabasalu FC Charma 2–0–1 Parnu JK Vaprus II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Tabasalu FC Charma | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Parnu JK Vaprus II |
| 23/04/18 Estonia II Liiga | Tabasalu FC Charma | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Parnu JK Vaprus II |
| 20/05/17 Estonia II Liiga | Tabasalu FC Charma | 4-3 HT 1-1 | Parnu JK Vaprus II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 33 | 35 |
| 2 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 35 | 34 |
| 3 | JK Trans Narva II | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 29 |
| 4 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 36 | 29 |
| 5 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 43 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 26 |
| 7 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 24 |
| 8 | FA Tartu Kalev | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 22 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 40 | 11 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 64 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tabasalu FC Charma | Parnu JK Vaprus II |
|---|---|---|
| FA Tartu Kalev | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| JK Trans Narva II | 0-5 L | 4-0 W |
| Tallinna JK Legion | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 2-3 L | 3-5 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 0-5 L | 4-2 W |
| Johvi FC Phoenix | 2-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tabasalu FC Charma (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tabasalu FC Charma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | FC Tallinna Wolves Estonia Cup |
5-0 | 10-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
Parnu JK Vaprus II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
4-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
5-0 | 7-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 28/04 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tabasalu FC Charma vs Parnu JK Vaprus II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Parnu JK Vaprus II win (46%). Probabilities: Tabasalu FC Charma 33%, draw 21%, Parnu JK Vaprus II 46%.
How many goals are expected in Tabasalu FC Charma vs Parnu JK Vaprus II?
The model expects 4.42 goals (Tabasalu FC Charma 2.03 · Parnu JK Vaprus II 2.38), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tabasalu FC Charma vs Parnu JK Vaprus II?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.