Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 12/07, 16:00
Prediction: JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Trans Narva II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.33Total
JK Tammeka Tartu II2.2
JK Trans Narva II2.13
1X2
JK Tammeka Tartu II
Draw
JK Trans Narva II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
JK Tammeka Tartu II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
JK Trans Narva II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JK Tammeka Tartu II
3–1–2
JK Trans Narva II
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1526 · JK Trans Narva II 1539
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | Draw | JK Trans Narva II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| Market | 41% | 21% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.33 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours JK Tammeka Tartu II: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | JK Trans Narva II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 2.2 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 3.9 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tammeka Tartu II 3–1–2 JK Trans Narva II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | JK Trans Narva II |
| 23/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 4-1 HT 3-0 | JK Tammeka Tartu II |
| 04/11/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II |
| 01/09/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | JK Trans Narva II |
| 06/07/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 1-1 HT 0-1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II |
| 14/04/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 2-3 HT 0-1 | JK Trans Narva II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 52 | 36 | 35 |
| 2 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 34 |
| 3 | JK Trans Narva II | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 32 |
| 4 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 54 | 38 | 32 |
| 5 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 31 |
| 6 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 29 |
| 7 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 50 | 24 |
| 8 | FA Tartu Kalev | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 40 | 22 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 42 | 14 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 67 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Tammeka Tartu II | JK Trans Narva II |
|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 2-3 L | 4-4 D |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Tabasalu FC Charma | 1-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Johvi FC Phoenix | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| JK Tallinna Kalev II | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| FA Tartu Kalev | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Tallinna JK Legion | 12-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Trans Narva II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Tammeka Tartu II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 01/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 28/05 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 16/05 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
5-0 | 12-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-5 | 2-7 | 2 | 7 | L |
JK Trans Narva II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 17/05 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-4 | 0-4 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
4-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 06/05 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Trans Narva II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tammeka Tartu II win (41%). Probabilities: JK Tammeka Tartu II 41%, draw 21%, JK Trans Narva II 38%.
How many goals are expected in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Trans Narva II?
The model expects 4.33 goals (JK Tammeka Tartu II 2.2 · JK Trans Narva II 2.13), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Tammeka Tartu II vs JK Trans Narva II?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.