Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 01/08, 18:00

Prediction: JK Viljandi Tulevik vs JK Tammeka Tartu II

Team pages: JK Viljandi Tulevik · JK Tammeka Tartu II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.05Total

JK Viljandi Tulevik2

JK Tammeka Tartu II2.05

1X2

39% 21% 40%

JK Viljandi Tulevik Draw JK Tammeka Tartu II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

JK Viljandi Tulevik 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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JK Tammeka Tartu II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

JK Viljandi Tulevik 1–2–3 JK Tammeka Tartu II (6 last)

JK Viljandi Tulevik2-2JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Tammeka Tartu II3-1JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Tammeka Tartu II1-1JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Viljandi Tulevik3-1JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Tammeka Tartu II4-1JK Viljandi Tulevik
JK Viljandi Tulevik0-1JK Tammeka Tartu II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1488 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1552

	JK Viljandi Tulevik	Draw	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Our model	38%	22%	40%
Market	39%	21%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 4.05 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Tammeka Tartu II (rating 1488 vs 1552).
H2H favours JK Tammeka Tartu II: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Viljandi Tulevik	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2	2.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.33

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.50 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.76 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:23 +6’	2.30	4.50	2.20
16:13 +4’	2.30	4.33▼	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:22	1.96	3.90	2.78
08:46	1.97▲	3.92▲	2.76▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1–2–3 JK Tammeka Tartu II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	2-2 HT 1-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
26/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	3-1 HT 3-0	JK Viljandi Tulevik
24/10/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	1-1 HT 1-0	JK Viljandi Tulevik
22/09/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	3-1 HT 1-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
19/05/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	4-1 HT 1-0	JK Viljandi Tulevik
21/03/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Viljandi Tulevik	0-1 HT 0-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Tammeka Tartu II	20	13	2	5	59	41	41
2	JK Trans Narva II	19	11	2	6	48	29	35
3	JK Viljandi Tulevik	20	11	2	7	55	39	35
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	20	11	2	7	49	47	35
5	Parnu JK Vaprus II	20	10	2	8	57	46	32
6	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	20	10	2	8	48	39	32
7	FA Tartu Kalev	20	9	1	10	54	42	28
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	20	9	0	11	33	52	27
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	20	4	2	14	42	51	14
10	Tallinna JK Legion	19	3	1	15	18	77	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Viljandi Tulevik	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Johvi FC Phoenix	0-0 D	4-2 W
Tabasalu FC Charma	0-2 L	1-3 L
JK Trans Narva II	1-2 L	2-1 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2-3 L	2-3 L
FA Tartu Kalev	4-3 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tammeka Tartu II (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

JK Viljandi Tulevik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
22/07	FC Hiiumaa Estonia Cup	0-3	1-4	6	3	L
11/07	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
05/07	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
22/06	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
19/06	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	2-3	6	4	L
13/06	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	4-3	2	5	W
06/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	4-2	9	3	W
24/05	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
16/05	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

JK Tammeka Tartu II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-3	5-4	3	6	W
12/07	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
04/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
22/06	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	2-2	10	4	D
18/06	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
14/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	4-2	9	5	W
01/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	3-2	7	7	W
28/05	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
24/05	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-1	5	11	W
16/05	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-2	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Viljandi Tulevik vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Tammeka Tartu II win (40%). Probabilities: JK Viljandi Tulevik 39%, draw 21%, JK Tammeka Tartu II 40%.

How many goals are expected in JK Viljandi Tulevik vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

The model expects 4.05 goals (JK Viljandi Tulevik 2 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 2.05), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Viljandi Tulevik vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.