Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 08/08, 18:00
Prediction: FA Tartu Kalev vs JK Viljandi Tulevik
Team pages: FA Tartu Kalev · JK Viljandi Tulevik
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.44Total
FA Tartu Kalev2.46
JK Viljandi Tulevik1.98
1X2
FA Tartu Kalev
Draw
JK Viljandi Tulevik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FA Tartu Kalev
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
JK Viljandi Tulevik
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FA Tartu Kalev
3–1–2
JK Viljandi Tulevik
(6 last)
- FA Tartu Kalev3-4JK Viljandi Tulevik
- JK Viljandi Tulevik1-3FA Tartu Kalev
- JK Viljandi Tulevik2-1FA Tartu Kalev
- FA Tartu Kalev1-0JK Viljandi Tulevik
- FA Tartu Kalev3-0JK Viljandi Tulevik
- JK Viljandi Tulevik3-3FA Tartu Kalev
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FA Tartu Kalev 1539 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1472
| FA Tartu Kalev | Draw | JK Viljandi Tulevik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| Market | 49% | 20% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.44 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FA Tartu Kalev (rating 1539 vs 1472).
- H2H favours FA Tartu Kalev: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FA Tartu Kalev | JK Viljandi Tulevik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.9 / 2 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 7 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FA Tartu Kalev 3–1–2 JK Viljandi Tulevik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 3-4 HT 1-2 | JK Viljandi Tulevik |
| 03/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FA Tartu Kalev |
| 06/10/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FA Tartu Kalev |
| 31/08/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 1-0 HT 0-0 | JK Viljandi Tulevik |
| 26/06/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | FA Tartu Kalev | 3-0 HT 1-0 | JK Viljandi Tulevik |
| 06/04/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 3-3 HT 3-1 | FA Tartu Kalev |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 41 | 42 |
| 2 | JK Trans Narva II | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 53 | 29 | 38 |
| 3 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 50 | 47 | 38 |
| 4 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 55 | 39 | 36 |
| 5 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 41 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 32 |
| 7 | FA Tartu Kalev | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 57 | 43 | 31 |
| 8 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 21 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 55 | 27 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 56 | 14 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 18 | 78 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FA Tartu Kalev | JK Viljandi Tulevik |
|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 5-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Tabasalu FC Charma | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| JK Trans Narva II | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FA Tartu Kalev (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FA Tartu Kalev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | JK Kuusalu Kalev Estonia Cup |
5-0 | 7-0 | 19 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
5-1 | 10-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | Paide Linnameeskond III Estonia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 2-7 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
JK Viljandi Tulevik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/07 | FC Hiiumaa Estonia Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FA Tartu Kalev vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FA Tartu Kalev win (49%). Probabilities: FA Tartu Kalev 49%, draw 20%, JK Viljandi Tulevik 31%.
How many goals are expected in FA Tartu Kalev vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?
The model expects 4.44 goals (FA Tartu Kalev 2.46 · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1.98), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FA Tartu Kalev vs JK Viljandi Tulevik?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.