Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 09/08, 14:30

Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs Tabasalu FC Charma

Team pages: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 · Tabasalu FC Charma

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

FC Levadia Tallinn U192.84

Tabasalu FC Charma1.39

1X2

67% 17% 16%

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Draw Tabasalu FC Charma

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Tabasalu FC Charma 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1–1 Tabasalu FC Charma (2 last)

Tabasalu FC Charma0-5FC Levadia Tallinn U19
FC Levadia Tallinn U190-2Tabasalu FC Charma

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1539 · Tabasalu FC Charma 1498

	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	Draw	Tabasalu FC Charma
Our model	67%	17%	16%
Market	67%	16%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.22 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Levadia Tallinn U19 (rating 1539 vs 1498).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	Tabasalu FC Charma
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.8	2.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.52.00

Under 4.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:03	1.33	5.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1–0–1 Tabasalu FC Charma

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	0-5 HT 0-1	FC Levadia Tallinn U19
03/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	0-2 HT 0-1	Tabasalu FC Charma

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Tammeka Tartu II	21	13	3	5	59	41	42
2	JK Trans Narva II	20	12	2	6	53	29	38
3	Johvi FC Phoenix	21	12	2	7	50	47	38
4	JK Viljandi Tulevik	21	11	3	7	55	39	36
5	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	21	11	2	8	51	41	35
6	Parnu JK Vaprus II	21	10	2	9	59	49	32
7	FA Tartu Kalev	21	10	1	10	57	43	31
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	21	9	0	12	34	55	27
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	21	4	2	15	42	56	14
10	Tallinna JK Legion	20	3	1	16	18	78	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	Tabasalu FC Charma
FA Tartu Kalev	0-5 L	3-1 W
JK Tallinna Kalev II	4-1 W	2-1 W
JK Tammeka Tartu II	3-2 W	3-1 W
JK Viljandi Tulevik	3-2 W	2-0 W
Tallinna JK Legion	6-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tabasalu FC Charma (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Levadia Tallinn U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-2	3	5	W
19/07	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-5	5	2	L
12/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
04/07	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-2	10	3	W
22/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
19/06	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	3-2	1	4	W
15/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-4	4	6	L
01/06	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	6-0	12	7	W
29/05	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
17/05	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	5-0	4	2	W

Tabasalu FC Charma

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	FC Tamper Estonia Cup	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
18/07	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
11/07	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
02/07	FC Tallinna Wolves Estonia Cup	5-0	10-0	–	–	W
21/06	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-1	10	4	W
18/06	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/06	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
31/05	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	0-5	3	3	L
27/05	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
24/05	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs Tabasalu FC Charma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Levadia Tallinn U19 win (67%). Probabilities: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 67%, draw 17%, Tabasalu FC Charma 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs Tabasalu FC Charma?

The model expects 4.22 goals (FC Levadia Tallinn U19 2.84 · Tabasalu FC Charma 1.39), with a 55% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs Tabasalu FC Charma?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.