Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II

Team pages: Tabasalu FC Charma · JK Tammeka Tartu II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.38Total

Tabasalu FC Charma1.81

JK Tammeka Tartu II2.57

1X2

27% 19% 54%

Tabasalu FC Charma Draw JK Tammeka Tartu II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Tabasalu FC Charma 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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JK Tammeka Tartu II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tabasalu FC Charma 4–2 JK Tammeka Tartu II (6 last)

JK Tammeka Tartu II1-3Tabasalu FC Charma
JK Tammeka Tartu II4-3Tabasalu FC Charma
JK Tammeka Tartu II5-1Tabasalu FC Charma
Tabasalu FC Charma2-1JK Tammeka Tartu II
Tabasalu FC Charma5-1JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Tammeka Tartu II1-2Tabasalu FC Charma

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tabasalu FC Charma 1471 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1476

	Tabasalu FC Charma	Draw	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Our model	26%	20%	54%
Market	27%	18%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tabasalu FC Charma: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tabasalu FC Charma	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.4	2.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.8	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.30

X5.00

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.85

Under 4.51.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 09:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.50 → 1.65▲	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:43 +4’	4.00	5.00	1.50
06:15 +13’	3.90▼	5.00	1.50
09:41 +4’	3.30▼	5.00	1.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:26 +1’	3.80	4.82	1.52
09:43 +2’	3.28▼	4.80▼	1.63▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 4.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabasalu FC Charma 4–0–2 JK Tammeka Tartu II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	1-3 HT 0-3	Tabasalu FC Charma
15/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	4-3 HT 1-3	Tabasalu FC Charma
10/09/22 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	5-1 HT 4-0	Tabasalu FC Charma
15/08/22 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	2-1 HT 1-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
28/05/22 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	5-1 HT 2-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
06/04/22 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	1-2 HT 1-2	Tabasalu FC Charma

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	26	16	2	8	65	44	50
2	JK Trans Narva II	25	15	3	7	64	34	48
3	JK Tammeka Tartu II	26	14	4	8	69	53	46
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	26	14	3	9	59	55	45
5	FA Tartu Kalev	26	13	2	11	65	50	41
6	Parnu JK Vaprus II	26	12	4	10	74	55	40
7	JK Viljandi Tulevik	26	11	5	10	64	54	38
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	26	9	2	15	37	71	29
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	26	6	5	15	52	63	23
10	Tallinna JK Legion	25	3	2	20	23	93	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tabasalu FC Charma	JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Trans Narva II	0-4 L	2-1 W
Parnu JK Vaprus II	0-6 L	2-2 D
JK Tallinna Kalev II	1-1 D	5-4 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	0-3 L	2-5 L
Tallinna JK Legion	0-2 L	3-0 W
JK Viljandi Tulevik	2-0 W	0-0 D
FA Tartu Kalev	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tammeka Tartu II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tabasalu FC Charma

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	0-4	2	2	L
24/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-4	0-6	6	2	L
16/08	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
09/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
18/07	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
11/07	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
21/06	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-1	10	4	W
18/06	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/06	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
31/05	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	0-5	3	3	L

JK Tammeka Tartu II

DLWWDDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	2-5	3	9	L
23/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	6	L
20/08	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	3-0	4	3	W
10/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	2-2	7	7	D
01/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
20/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-3	5-4	3	6	W
12/07	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
04/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
22/06	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	2-2	10	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Tammeka Tartu II win (54%). Probabilities: Tabasalu FC Charma 27%, draw 19%, JK Tammeka Tartu II 54%.

How many goals are expected in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

The model expects 4.38 goals (Tabasalu FC Charma 1.81 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 2.57), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.