Prediction: Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tallinna Kalev II
Team pages: Johvi FC Phoenix · JK Tallinna Kalev II
- JK Tallinna Kalev II3-1Johvi FC Phoenix
- JK Tallinna Kalev II1-2Johvi FC Phoenix
- Johvi FC Phoenix2-1JK Tallinna Kalev II
| Johvi FC Phoenix | Draw | JK Tallinna Kalev II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 19% | 25% |
| Market | 55% | 20% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johvi FC Phoenix (rating 1539 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Johvi FC Phoenix: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Johvi FC Phoenix | JK Tallinna Kalev II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 1.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johvi FC Phoenix 2–0–1 JK Tallinna Kalev II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 16/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 14/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 2-1 HT 1-1 | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Trans Narva II | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 54 |
| 2 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 28 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 71 | 47 | 53 |
| 3 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 74 | 58 | 49 |
| 4 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 28 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 64 | 63 | 48 |
| 5 | FA Tartu Kalev | 29 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 71 | 52 | 47 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 83 | 62 | 43 |
| 7 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 69 | 57 | 41 |
| 8 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 77 | 32 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 56 | 71 | 26 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 27 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 24 | 98 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Johvi FC Phoenix | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 3-2 W | 0-7 L |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 2-6 L | 1-4 L |
| FA Tartu Kalev | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 3-2 W | 4-5 L |
| JK Trans Narva II | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Tallinna JK Legion | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Johvi FC Phoenix (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johvi FC Phoenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
4-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
JK Tallinna Kalev II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-7 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/08 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/07 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
3-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Johvi FC Phoenix win (55%). Probabilities: Johvi FC Phoenix 55%, draw 20%, JK Tallinna Kalev II 25%.
How many goals are expected in Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?
The model expects 4.56 goals (Johvi FC Phoenix 2.71 · JK Tallinna Kalev II 1.85), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.