Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 06/09, 11:30

Prediction: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs Johvi FC Phoenix

Team pages: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 · Johvi FC Phoenix

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

FC Levadia Tallinn U192.13

Johvi FC Phoenix1.86

1X2

45% 21% 34%

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Draw Johvi FC Phoenix

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Johvi FC Phoenix 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1–2–1 Johvi FC Phoenix (4 last)

FC Levadia Tallinn U192-0Johvi FC Phoenix
Johvi FC Phoenix4-3FC Levadia Tallinn U19
Johvi FC Phoenix0-0FC Levadia Tallinn U19
FC Levadia Tallinn U190-0Johvi FC Phoenix

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1576 · Johvi FC Phoenix 1526

	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	Draw	Johvi FC Phoenix
Our model	44%	22%	34%
Market	45%	21%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Levadia Tallinn U19 (rating 1576 vs 1526).
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	Johvi FC Phoenix
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.3	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.8	3.3 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.33

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:14 +14’	2.00	4.33	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Levadia Tallinn U19 1–2–1 Johvi FC Phoenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	2-0 HT 1-0	Johvi FC Phoenix
24/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	Johvi FC Phoenix	4-3 HT 1-3	FC Levadia Tallinn U19
15/10/23 Estonia II Liiga	Johvi FC Phoenix	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Levadia Tallinn U19
03/06/23 Estonia II Liiga	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	0-0 HT 0-0	Johvi FC Phoenix

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	26	16	2	8	65	44	50
2	JK Trans Narva II	25	15	3	7	64	34	48
3	JK Tammeka Tartu II	26	14	4	8	69	53	46
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	26	14	3	9	59	55	45
5	FA Tartu Kalev	26	13	2	11	65	50	41
6	Parnu JK Vaprus II	26	12	4	10	74	55	40
7	JK Viljandi Tulevik	26	11	5	10	64	54	38
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	26	9	2	15	37	71	29
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	26	6	5	15	52	63	23
10	Tallinna JK Legion	25	3	2	20	23	93	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	Johvi FC Phoenix
JK Tammeka Tartu II	5-2 W	3-2 W
Tallinna JK Legion	1-0 W	1-0 W
JK Trans Narva II	1-0 W	0-1 L
JK Viljandi Tulevik	4-1 W	0-0 D
Parnu JK Vaprus II	3-2 W	4-2 W
FA Tartu Kalev	0-5 L	3-0 W
JK Tallinna Kalev II	4-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Levadia Tallinn U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	5-2	4	9	W
24/08	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
19/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-0	10	1	W
16/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
09/08	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
03/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-2	3	5	W
19/07	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-5	5	2	L
12/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
04/07	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-2	10	3	W
22/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	4	6	W

Johvi FC Phoenix

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	3-0	8	7	W
23/08	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-2	2	6	W
15/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-3	8	8	L
01/08	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/07	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	12	6	D
12/07	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	4-1	4-2	4	4	W
22/06	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
18/06	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	6-1	4	4	W
14/06	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-4	10	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs Johvi FC Phoenix?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Levadia Tallinn U19 win (45%). Probabilities: FC Levadia Tallinn U19 45%, draw 21%, Johvi FC Phoenix 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs Johvi FC Phoenix?

The model expects 3.99 goals (FC Levadia Tallinn U19 2.13 · Johvi FC Phoenix 1.86), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Levadia Tallinn U19 vs Johvi FC Phoenix?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.