Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 11/10, 11:30

Prediction: Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II

Team pages: Tabasalu FC Charma · JK Tammeka Tartu II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

Tabasalu FC Charma1.82

JK Tammeka Tartu II2.09

1X2

34% 21% 45%

Tabasalu FC Charma Draw JK Tammeka Tartu II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Tabasalu FC Charma 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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JK Tammeka Tartu II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Tabasalu FC Charma 4–2 JK Tammeka Tartu II (6 last)

Tabasalu FC Charma3-2JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Tammeka Tartu II1-3Tabasalu FC Charma
JK Tammeka Tartu II4-3Tabasalu FC Charma
JK Tammeka Tartu II5-1Tabasalu FC Charma
Tabasalu FC Charma2-1JK Tammeka Tartu II
Tabasalu FC Charma5-1JK Tammeka Tartu II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tabasalu FC Charma 1436 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1446

	Tabasalu FC Charma	Draw	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Our model	34%	22%	44%
Market	35%	20%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tabasalu FC Charma: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tabasalu FC Charma	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.6	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	1.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	6.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.60▼	Bet365 2.60
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.85 → 2.00▲	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:19 +64’	2.80	4.50	1.85
04:20 +7’	2.55▼	4.50	2.00▲
11:13 +7’	2.60▲	4.50	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 4.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabasalu FC Charma 4–0–2 JK Tammeka Tartu II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	3-2 HT 1-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
18/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	1-3 HT 0-3	Tabasalu FC Charma
15/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	4-3 HT 1-3	Tabasalu FC Charma
10/09/22 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	5-1 HT 4-0	Tabasalu FC Charma
15/08/22 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	2-1 HT 1-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
28/05/22 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	5-1 HT 2-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Trans Narva II	30	20	3	7	71	36	63
2	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	31	19	2	10	78	52	59
3	Johvi FC Phoenix	30	17	3	10	71	68	54
4	JK Tammeka Tartu II	30	15	4	11	74	60	49
5	JK Viljandi Tulevik	31	14	5	12	81	64	47
6	FA Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	72	58	47
7	Parnu JK Vaprus II	30	14	4	12	95	62	46
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	30	10	3	17	44	81	33
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	31	8	5	18	63	78	29
10	Tallinna JK Legion	31	3	3	25	26	116	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tabasalu FC Charma	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Johvi FC Phoenix	2-3 L	2-3 L
JK Tallinna Kalev II	1-4 L	5-4 W
JK Trans Narva II	0-4 L	0-1 L
Parnu JK Vaprus II	0-6 L	2-2 D
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	0-3 L	0-1 L
JK Viljandi Tulevik	2-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tammeka Tartu II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tabasalu FC Charma

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
14/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
11/09	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	1-4	4	3	L
05/09	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
29/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	0-4	2	2	L
24/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-4	0-6	6	2	L
16/08	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
09/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
18/07	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
11/07	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	6	3	W

JK Tammeka Tartu II

WDDLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
15/09	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
10/09	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	3-2	10	10	W
05/09	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	2-3	5	4	L
31/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	2-5	3	9	L
23/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	6	L
20/08	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
10/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	2-2	7	7	D
01/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
20/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-3	5-4	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Tammeka Tartu II win (45%). Probabilities: Tabasalu FC Charma 34%, draw 21%, JK Tammeka Tartu II 45%.

How many goals are expected in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

The model expects 3.92 goals (Tabasalu FC Charma 1.82 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 2.09), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.