Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 19/10, 18:00

Prediction: Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Trans Narva II

Team pages: Tabasalu FC Charma · JK Trans Narva II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Tabasalu FC Charma1.12

JK Trans Narva II1.97

1X2

20% 24% 56%

Tabasalu FC Charma Draw JK Trans Narva II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Tabasalu FC Charma 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLDLLL

JK Trans Narva II 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Tabasalu FC Charma 3–3 JK Trans Narva II (6 last)

JK Trans Narva II4-0Tabasalu FC Charma
JK Trans Narva II5-0Tabasalu FC Charma
Tabasalu FC Charma1-0JK Trans Narva II
JK Trans Narva II2-1Tabasalu FC Charma
Tabasalu FC Charma1-0JK Trans Narva II
Tabasalu FC Charma2-1JK Trans Narva II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Trans Narva II (rating 1416 vs 1599).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tabasalu FC Charma	JK Trans Narva II
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.8	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.6	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	3.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.84

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 19:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	6.67 → 4.69▼	Pinn 4.69
X	6.85 → 2.88▼	Pinn 2.88
2	1.20 → 1.80▲	Pinn 1.80

See the full journey (7)

Pinnacle margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:11 +50’	6.67	6.85	1.20
08:17 +45’	6.79▲	6.93▲	1.19▼
11:57 +5’	6.68▼	6.88▼	1.20▲
16:00 +2’	6.91▲	7.13▲	1.20▲
17:01 +1’	6.02▼	6.57▼	1.25▲
18:02	5.05▼	5.00▼	1.39▲
19:02	4.69▼	2.88▼	1.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 6 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tabasalu FC Charma 3–0–3 JK Trans Narva II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	4-0 HT 3-0	Tabasalu FC Charma
31/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	5-0 HT 2-0	Tabasalu FC Charma
06/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	1-0 HT 0-0	JK Trans Narva II
01/11/25 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	2-1 HT 1-0	Tabasalu FC Charma
01/08/25 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	1-0 HT 1-0	JK Trans Narva II
17/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tabasalu FC Charma	2-1 HT 0-0	JK Trans Narva II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Trans Narva II	32	22	3	7	74	36	69
2	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	33	21	2	10	83	53	65
3	JK Tammeka Tartu II	32	17	4	11	79	62	55
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	33	17	3	13	72	76	54
5	JK Viljandi Tulevik	33	16	5	12	86	67	53
6	Parnu JK Vaprus II	33	15	5	13	100	67	50
7	FA Tartu Kalev	33	16	2	15	76	62	50
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	32	10	3	19	46	85	33
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	33	8	6	19	65	82	30
10	Tallinna JK Legion	32	3	3	26	27	118	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tabasalu FC Charma	JK Trans Narva II
JK Tammeka Tartu II	1-2 L	1-0 W
Johvi FC Phoenix	2-3 L	1-0 W
Tallinna JK Legion	1-1 D	2-1 W
JK Tallinna Kalev II	1-4 L	2-1 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: JK Trans Narva II (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tabasalu FC Charma

LDLLWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-2	5	6	L
11/10	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
19/09	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
14/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
11/09	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	1-4	4	3	L
05/09	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
29/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	0-4	2	2	L
24/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-4	0-6	6	2	L
16/08	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
09/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	0-3	6	2	L

JK Trans Narva II

LDWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
11/10	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	12	10	W
26/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
19/09	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
15/09	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
11/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
06/09	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
29/08	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	4-0	9	2	W
23/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	3-3	6	2	D
19/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-1	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Trans Narva II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Trans Narva II win (56%). Probabilities: Tabasalu FC Charma 20%, draw 24%, JK Trans Narva II 56%.

How many goals are expected in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Trans Narva II?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Tabasalu FC Charma 1.12 · JK Trans Narva II 1.97), with a 59% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tabasalu FC Charma vs JK Trans Narva II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.