Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 15/10, 17:00
Prediction: Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tammeka Tartu II
Team pages: Johvi FC Phoenix · JK Tammeka Tartu II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.36Total
Johvi FC Phoenix2.5
JK Tammeka Tartu II1.86
1X2
Johvi FC Phoenix
Draw
JK Tammeka Tartu II
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Johvi FC Phoenix
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
JK Tammeka Tartu II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Johvi FC Phoenix
2–1–3
JK Tammeka Tartu II
(6 last)
- JK Tammeka Tartu II2-3Johvi FC Phoenix
- Johvi FC Phoenix2-4JK Tammeka Tartu II
- JK Tammeka Tartu II6-1Johvi FC Phoenix
- JK Tammeka Tartu II1-1Johvi FC Phoenix
- Johvi FC Phoenix7-1JK Tammeka Tartu II
- Johvi FC Phoenix0-4JK Tammeka Tartu II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johvi FC Phoenix 1500 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1479
| Johvi FC Phoenix | Draw | JK Tammeka Tartu II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 20% | 28% |
| Market | 52% | 19% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.36 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours JK Tammeka Tartu II: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 13.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Johvi FC Phoenix | JK Tammeka Tartu II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.3 / 0.7 | 6.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johvi FC Phoenix 2–1–3 JK Tammeka Tartu II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 14/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 2-4 HT 1-1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II |
| 22/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 6-1 HT 4-0 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 19/09/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Johvi FC Phoenix |
| 03/08/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 7-1 HT 5-1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II |
| 26/05/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | Johvi FC Phoenix | 0-4 HT 0-2 | JK Tammeka Tartu II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Trans Narva II | 31 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 72 | 36 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 80 | 52 | 62 |
| 3 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 71 | 69 | 54 |
| 4 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 76 | 61 | 52 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 98 | 64 | 50 |
| 6 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 83 | 65 | 50 |
| 7 | FA Tartu Kalev | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 72 | 60 | 47 |
| 8 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 85 | 33 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 64 | 79 | 30 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 32 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 27 | 118 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Johvi FC Phoenix | JK Tammeka Tartu II |
|---|---|---|
| JK Trans Narva II | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Tabasalu FC Charma | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 2-6 L | 0-1 L |
| FA Tartu Kalev | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Johvi FC Phoenix (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johvi FC Phoenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 19/09 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/09 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 13 | W |
| 10/09 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
JK Tammeka Tartu II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 21/09 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 15/09 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 10 | W |
| 05/09 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 23/08 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/08 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/08 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Johvi FC Phoenix win (52%). Probabilities: Johvi FC Phoenix 52%, draw 19%, JK Tammeka Tartu II 29%.
How many goals are expected in Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?
The model expects 4.36 goals (Johvi FC Phoenix 2.5 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1.86), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Johvi FC Phoenix vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.