Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 15/10, 18:00

Prediction: JK Trans Narva II vs FA Tartu Kalev

Team pages: JK Trans Narva II · FA Tartu Kalev

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

JK Trans Narva II2.33

FA Tartu Kalev1.2

1X2

62% 21% 18%

JK Trans Narva II Draw FA Tartu Kalev

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

JK Trans Narva II 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWWWW

FA Tartu Kalev 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWWLL

Head-to-head

JK Trans Narva II 4–1–1 FA Tartu Kalev (6 last)

FA Tartu Kalev0-1JK Trans Narva II
JK Trans Narva II3-2FA Tartu Kalev
FA Tartu Kalev3-0JK Trans Narva II
JK Trans Narva II6-1FA Tartu Kalev
FA Tartu Kalev1-1JK Trans Narva II
FA Tartu Kalev2-3JK Trans Narva II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Trans Narva II (rating 1595 vs 1480).
H2H favours JK Trans Narva II: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Trans Narva II	FA Tartu Kalev
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.6	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.6	2.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.75

Under 31.99

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 19:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.29 → 1.12▼	Pinn 1.12
X	5.79 → 6.55▲	Pinn 6.55
2	5.50 → 16.62▲	Pinn 16.62

See the full journey (7)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:29 +34’	1.29	5.79	5.50
12:39 +25’	1.30▲	5.72▼	5.43▼
14:01 +2’	1.30▼	5.74▲	5.45▲
16:00 +4’	1.31▲	5.91▲	5.60▲
17:02	1.20▼	6.78▲	7.29▲
18:00 +2’	1.17▼	6.44▼	9.44▲
19:05	1.12▼	6.55▲	16.62▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Trans Narva II 4–1–1 FA Tartu Kalev

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	FA Tartu Kalev	0-1 HT 0-1	JK Trans Narva II
18/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	3-2 HT 1-0	FA Tartu Kalev
14/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	FA Tartu Kalev	3-0 HT 0-0	JK Trans Narva II
09/11/25 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	6-1 HT 2-1	FA Tartu Kalev
13/09/25 Estonia Esiliiga B	FA Tartu Kalev	1-1 HT 0-0	JK Trans Narva II
29/05/25 Estonia Esiliiga B	FA Tartu Kalev	2-3 HT 2-2	JK Trans Narva II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Trans Narva II	31	21	3	7	72	36	66
2	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	32	20	2	10	80	52	62
3	Johvi FC Phoenix	31	17	3	11	71	69	54
4	JK Tammeka Tartu II	31	16	4	11	76	61	52
5	Parnu JK Vaprus II	32	15	5	12	98	64	50
6	JK Viljandi Tulevik	32	15	5	12	83	65	50
7	FA Tartu Kalev	31	15	2	14	72	60	47
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	32	10	3	19	46	85	33
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	32	8	6	18	64	79	30
10	Tallinna JK Legion	32	3	3	26	27	118	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Trans Narva II	FA Tartu Kalev
Johvi FC Phoenix	1-0 W	0-3 L
Tallinna JK Legion	2-1 W	2-1 W
JK Tallinna Kalev II	2-1 W	1-1 D
JK Tammeka Tartu II	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	1-0 W	0-2 L
JK Viljandi Tulevik	3-3 D	1-6 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JK Trans Narva II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JK Trans Narva II

WLDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	12	10	W
26/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
19/09	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
15/09	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
11/09	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
06/09	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
29/08	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	4-0	9	2	W
23/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	2-2	3-3	6	2	D
19/08	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
15/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

FA Tartu Kalev

WWWDLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
26/09	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-5	1-6	7	4	L
13/09	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	4-0	4	4	W
10/09	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
06/09	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
29/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	0-3	7	7	L
25/08	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
20/08	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	4-2	11	5	W
19/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	5-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Trans Narva II vs FA Tartu Kalev?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Trans Narva II win (62%). Probabilities: JK Trans Narva II 62%, draw 21%, FA Tartu Kalev 18%.

How many goals are expected in JK Trans Narva II vs FA Tartu Kalev?

The model expects 3.53 goals (JK Trans Narva II 2.33 · FA Tartu Kalev 1.2), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Trans Narva II vs FA Tartu Kalev?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.