Prediction: Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Tallinna Kalev II
Expected goals: 4.56 (Tallinna JK Legion 1.3 · JK Tallinna Kalev II 3.26). The model gives 11% home, 14% draw, 75% away. Under 4.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-3.
Recent form leaves Tallinna JK Legion with 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; JK Tallinna Kalev II has piled up 2-1-7 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tallinna JK Legion won 4 and JK Tallinna Kalev II 2.
| Tallinna JK Legion | Draw | JK Tallinna Kalev II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 11% | 14% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Tallinna Kalev II (rating 1407 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Tallinna JK Legion: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tallinna JK Legion | JK Tallinna Kalev II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tallinna JK Legion 4–0–2 JK Tallinna Kalev II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Tallinna JK Legion |
| 14/09/19 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tallinna JK Legion |
| 26/07/19 Estonia Esiliiga | Tallinna JK Legion | 4-0 HT 3-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
| 30/05/19 Estonia Esiliiga | Tallinna JK Legion | 2-0 HT 0-0 | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
| 08/04/19 Estonia Esiliiga | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 2-5 HT 1-3 | Tallinna JK Legion |
| 15/02/19 Europe Friendlies | Tallinna JK Legion | 3-4 HT 3-1 | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 33 | 35 |
| 2 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 35 | 34 |
| 3 | JK Trans Narva II | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 29 |
| 4 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 36 | 29 |
| 5 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 43 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 26 |
| 7 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 24 |
| 8 | FA Tartu Kalev | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 22 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 40 | 11 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 64 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tallinna JK Legion | JK Tallinna Kalev II |
|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Johvi FC Phoenix | 1-6 L | 1-2 L |
| Tabasalu FC Charma | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| FA Tartu Kalev | 0-6 L | 7-2 W |
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | 0-3 L | 3-4 L |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 0-12 L | 0-1 L |
| JK Trans Narva II | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Tallinna Kalev II (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tallinna JK Legion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 1-6 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-5 | 0-12 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
JK Tallinna Kalev II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | JK Arsenal JA Pohja-Tallinna JK Volta Um Estonia Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/06 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 7-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Tallinna Kalev II win (75%). Probabilities: Tallinna JK Legion 11%, draw 14%, JK Tallinna Kalev II 75%.
How many goals are expected in Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?
The model expects 4.56 goals (Tallinna JK Legion 1.3 · JK Tallinna Kalev II 3.26), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.