Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: JK Trans Narva II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II

Team pages: JK Trans Narva II · JK Tallinna Kalev II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.46Total

JK Trans Narva II2.57

JK Tallinna Kalev II1.89

1X2

52% 20% 28%

JK Trans Narva II Draw JK Tallinna Kalev II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

JK Trans Narva II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWWWLW

JK Tallinna Kalev II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLWLLW

Head-to-head

JK Trans Narva II 3–1–2 JK Tallinna Kalev II (6 last)

JK Tallinna Kalev II2-3JK Trans Narva II
JK Trans Narva II3-1JK Tallinna Kalev II
JK Trans Narva II1-0JK Tallinna Kalev II
JK Tallinna Kalev II2-1JK Trans Narva II
JK Trans Narva II0-0JK Tallinna Kalev II
JK Trans Narva II0-1JK Tallinna Kalev II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Trans Narva II (rating 1538 vs 1492).
H2H favours JK Trans Narva II: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Trans Narva II	JK Tallinna Kalev II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.9	2.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 8.1	1.1 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.84

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.16 → 1.16	Pinn 1.16
X	7.28 → 7.28	Pinn 7.28
2	7.60 → 7.60	Pinn 7.60

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 13%

Time*	1	X	2
10:04	1.16	7.28	7.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Trans Narva II 3–1–2 JK Tallinna Kalev II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/06/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tallinna Kalev II	2-3 HT 1-1	JK Trans Narva II
04/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	3-1 HT 1-0	JK Tallinna Kalev II
29/10/23 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	1-0 HT 0-0	JK Tallinna Kalev II
06/08/23 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tallinna Kalev II	2-1 HT 2-0	JK Trans Narva II
29/06/23 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	0-0 HT 0-0	JK Tallinna Kalev II
06/03/23 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Trans Narva II	0-1 HT 0-0	JK Tallinna Kalev II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Tammeka Tartu II	20	13	2	5	59	41	41
2	JK Trans Narva II	19	11	2	6	48	29	35
3	JK Viljandi Tulevik	20	11	2	7	55	39	35
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	20	11	2	7	49	47	35
5	Parnu JK Vaprus II	20	10	2	8	57	46	32
6	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	20	10	2	8	48	39	32
7	FA Tartu Kalev	20	9	1	10	54	42	28
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	20	9	0	11	33	52	27
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	20	4	2	14	42	51	14
10	Tallinna JK Legion	19	3	1	15	18	77	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Trans Narva II	JK Tallinna Kalev II
Parnu JK Vaprus II	4-1 W	2-2 D
JK Tammeka Tartu II	1-2 L	4-5 L
FA Tartu Kalev	3-2 W	7-2 W
Tabasalu FC Charma	5-0 W	1-2 L
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	4-4 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: JK Trans Narva II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

JK Trans Narva II

DLLDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	4-1	4	8	W
12/07	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-2	12	6	L
05/07	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	2-1	14	4	W
22/06	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	3-2	7	1	W
18/06	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-2	8	4	W
31/05	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	5-0	7	3	W
28/05	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
24/05	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-2	6	11	L
17/05	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-4	0-4	12	6	L
10/05	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	4-0	4-4	5	0	D

JK Tallinna Kalev II

LWWLDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	Rakvere FC Freedom Estonia Cup	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
20/07	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	3-1	4-5	4	6	L
12/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	1-4	5	4	L
05/07	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	3-2	5	4	W
22/06	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
19/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
10/06	JK Arsenal JA Pohja-Tallinna JK Volta Um Estonia Cup	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
01/06	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	2-1	7-2	2	6	W
28/05	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Trans Narva II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Trans Narva II win (52%). Probabilities: JK Trans Narva II 52%, draw 20%, JK Tallinna Kalev II 28%.

How many goals are expected in JK Trans Narva II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?

The model expects 4.46 goals (JK Trans Narva II 2.57 · JK Tallinna Kalev II 1.89), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Trans Narva II vs JK Tallinna Kalev II?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.