Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Tammeka Tartu II

Team pages: Tallinna JK Legion · JK Tammeka Tartu II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.73Total

Tallinna JK Legion1.37

JK Tammeka Tartu II3.37

1X2

9% 11% 80%

Tallinna JK Legion Draw JK Tammeka Tartu II

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-3

Recent form · 10 last

Tallinna JK Legion 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLLL

JK Tammeka Tartu II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLWWDD

Head-to-head

Tallinna JK Legion 0–1–5 JK Tammeka Tartu II (6 last)

JK Tammeka Tartu II12-0Tallinna JK Legion
Tallinna JK Legion1-2JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Tammeka Tartu II5-1Tallinna JK Legion
Tallinna JK Legion0-2JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Tammeka Tartu II3-0Tallinna JK Legion
Tallinna JK Legion1-1JK Tammeka Tartu II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tallinna JK Legion 1397 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 1561

	Tallinna JK Legion	Draw	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Our model	11%	14%	75%
Market	7%	9%	84%

Estimated total (ours) 4.73 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Tammeka Tartu II (rating 1397 vs 1561).
H2H favours JK Tammeka Tartu II: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tallinna JK Legion	JK Tammeka Tartu II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 3.7	2.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.8	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.6	2.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

113.00

X10.00

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3)1.98

2 (-3)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 51.98

Under 51.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:36 +22’	13.00	10.00	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tallinna JK Legion 0–1–5 JK Tammeka Tartu II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	12-0 HT 5-0	Tallinna JK Legion
05/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tallinna JK Legion	1-2 HT 0-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
15/09/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	5-1 HT 1-0	Tallinna JK Legion
25/08/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tallinna JK Legion	0-2 HT 0-0	JK Tammeka Tartu II
30/05/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tammeka Tartu II	3-0 HT 2-0	Tallinna JK Legion
30/03/24 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tallinna JK Legion	1-1 HT 0-1	JK Tammeka Tartu II

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Tammeka Tartu II	22	13	4	5	61	43	43
2	JK Trans Narva II	21	13	2	6	56	30	41
3	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	22	12	2	8	54	41	38
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	22	12	2	8	51	50	38
5	JK Viljandi Tulevik	22	11	3	8	57	43	36
6	FA Tartu Kalev	22	11	1	10	61	45	34
7	Parnu JK Vaprus II	22	10	3	9	61	51	33
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	22	9	0	13	34	58	27
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	22	5	2	15	45	57	17
10	Tallinna JK Legion	21	3	1	17	19	81	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tallinna JK Legion	JK Tammeka Tartu II
JK Trans Narva II	1-3 L	2-1 W
Johvi FC Phoenix	0-1 L	4-2 W
Tabasalu FC Charma	2-0 W	1-3 L
JK Tallinna Kalev II	2-3 L	5-4 W
Parnu JK Vaprus II	1-4 L	2-2 D
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	0-6 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tammeka Tartu II (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tallinna JK Legion

WLLLLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-3	2	8	L
01/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
26/07	Saku Sporting Estonia Cup	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
18/07	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	9	6	W
12/07	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-5	2-10	–	–	L
05/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	2-3	5	4	L
22/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-4	1	5	L
18/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-6	1	4	L
01/06	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	0-6	2	7	L
27/05	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	3-2	5	3	W

JK Tammeka Tartu II

WWWLDLWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	2-0	2-2	7	7	D
01/08	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
20/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-3	5-4	3	6	W
12/07	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
04/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	3	L
22/06	JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	2-2	10	4	D
18/06	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
14/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	4-2	9	5	W
01/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	3-2	7	7	W
28/05	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	1-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Tammeka Tartu II win (80%). Probabilities: Tallinna JK Legion 9%, draw 11%, JK Tammeka Tartu II 80%.

How many goals are expected in Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

The model expects 4.73 goals (Tallinna JK Legion 1.37 · JK Tammeka Tartu II 3.37), with a 55% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Tammeka Tartu II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.