Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 23/08, 14:00
Prediction: JK Viljandi Tulevik vs JK Trans Narva II
Team pages: JK Viljandi Tulevik · JK Trans Narva II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
JK Viljandi Tulevik1.52
JK Trans Narva II1.99
1X2
JK Viljandi Tulevik
Draw
JK Trans Narva II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JK Viljandi Tulevik
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
JK Trans Narva II
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JK Viljandi Tulevik
1–1–4
JK Trans Narva II
(6 last)
- JK Trans Narva II2-1JK Viljandi Tulevik
- JK Viljandi Tulevik0-1JK Trans Narva II
- JK Trans Narva II4-2JK Viljandi Tulevik
- JK Viljandi Tulevik1-1JK Trans Narva II
- JK Viljandi Tulevik3-1JK Trans Narva II
- JK Trans Narva II2-0JK Viljandi Tulevik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1432 · JK Trans Narva II 1577
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | Draw | JK Trans Narva II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| Market | 30% | 21% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Trans Narva II (rating 1432 vs 1577).
- H2H favours JK Trans Narva II: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JK Viljandi Tulevik | JK Trans Narva II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 3.1 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Viljandi Tulevik 1–1–4 JK Trans Narva II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 2-1 HT 0-0 | JK Viljandi Tulevik |
| 19/04/26 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 0-1 HT 0-1 | JK Trans Narva II |
| 10/11/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 4-2 HT 0-0 | JK Viljandi Tulevik |
| 21/07/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 1-1 HT 0-1 | JK Trans Narva II |
| 30/05/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 3-1 HT 1-1 | JK Trans Narva II |
| 05/05/24 Estonia Esiliiga B | JK Trans Narva II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | JK Viljandi Tulevik |
Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JK Tammeka Tartu II | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 45 | 46 |
| 2 | JK Trans Narva II | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 57 | 31 | 44 |
| 3 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 59 | 42 | 44 |
| 4 | FA Tartu Kalev | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 64 | 46 | 40 |
| 5 | Johvi FC Phoenix | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 53 | 53 | 39 |
| 6 | JK Viljandi Tulevik | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 37 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus II | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 63 | 54 | 34 |
| 8 | Tabasalu FC Charma | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 61 | 29 |
| 9 | JK Tallinna Kalev II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 61 | 19 |
| 10 | Tallinna JK Legion | 23 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 22 | 87 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JK Viljandi Tulevik | JK Trans Narva II |
|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus II | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| FA Tartu Kalev | 2-4 L | 3-2 W |
| JK Tammeka Tartu II | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Johvi FC Phoenix | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Tabasalu FC Charma | 0-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: JK Trans Narva II (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JK Viljandi Tulevik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/06 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
JK Trans Narva II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | JK Viljandi Tulevik Estonia Esiliiga B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JK Viljandi Tulevik vs JK Trans Narva II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an JK Trans Narva II win (48%). Probabilities: JK Viljandi Tulevik 29%, draw 22%, JK Trans Narva II 48%.
How many goals are expected in JK Viljandi Tulevik vs JK Trans Narva II?
The model expects 3.51 goals (JK Viljandi Tulevik 1.52 · JK Trans Narva II 1.99), with a 58% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in JK Viljandi Tulevik vs JK Trans Narva II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.