Football · Estonia Esiliiga B · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion

Team pages: JK Tallinna Kalev II · Tallinna JK Legion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.66Total

JK Tallinna Kalev II3.28

Tallinna JK Legion1.37

1X2

74% 13% 12%

JK Tallinna Kalev II Draw Tallinna JK Legion

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

JK Tallinna Kalev II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWLWD

Tallinna JK Legion 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

JK Tallinna Kalev II 2–4 Tallinna JK Legion (6 last)

Tallinna JK Legion2-3JK Tallinna Kalev II
JK Tallinna Kalev II5-1Tallinna JK Legion
JK Tallinna Kalev II0-1Tallinna JK Legion
Tallinna JK Legion4-0JK Tallinna Kalev II
Tallinna JK Legion2-0JK Tallinna Kalev II
JK Tallinna Kalev II2-5Tallinna JK Legion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JK Tallinna Kalev II 1487 · Tallinna JK Legion 1408

	JK Tallinna Kalev II	Draw	Tallinna JK Legion
Our model	74%	14%	12%
Market	74%	13%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 4.66 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JK Tallinna Kalev II (rating 1487 vs 1408).
H2H favours Tallinna JK Legion: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JK Tallinna Kalev II	Tallinna JK Legion
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.7	1.3 / 3.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 1	0.3 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.3	1.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.20

X7.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.85

2 (+2.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.95

Under 4.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:43 +6’	1.20	7.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JK Tallinna Kalev II 2–0–4 Tallinna JK Legion

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	Tallinna JK Legion	2-3 HT 0-3	JK Tallinna Kalev II
07/03/26 Estonia Esiliiga B	JK Tallinna Kalev II	5-1 HT 1-1	Tallinna JK Legion
14/09/19 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tallinna Kalev II	0-1 HT 0-0	Tallinna JK Legion
26/07/19 Estonia Esiliiga	Tallinna JK Legion	4-0 HT 3-0	JK Tallinna Kalev II
30/05/19 Estonia Esiliiga	Tallinna JK Legion	2-0 HT 0-0	JK Tallinna Kalev II
08/04/19 Estonia Esiliiga	JK Tallinna Kalev II	2-5 HT 1-3	Tallinna JK Legion

Standings · Estonia Esiliiga B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	JK Trans Narva II	23	14	2	7	57	31	44
2	FC Levadia Tallinn U19	24	14	2	8	59	42	44
3	JK Tammeka Tartu II	22	13	4	5	61	43	43
4	Johvi FC Phoenix	23	12	2	9	51	51	38
5	FA Tartu Kalev	23	12	1	10	62	45	37
6	JK Viljandi Tulevik	23	11	3	9	58	47	36
7	Parnu JK Vaprus II	23	10	3	10	61	52	33
8	Tabasalu FC Charma	23	9	1	13	35	59	28
9	JK Tallinna Kalev II	23	5	3	15	46	58	18
10	Tallinna JK Legion	21	3	1	17	19	81	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JK Tallinna Kalev II	Tallinna JK Legion
Tabasalu FC Charma	1-1 D	2-0 W
Johvi FC Phoenix	3-1 W	0-1 L
JK Trans Narva II	0-5 L	1-3 L
FC Levadia Tallinn U19	1-4 L	0-6 L
Parnu JK Vaprus II	2-2 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: JK Tallinna Kalev II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

JK Tallinna Kalev II

LDLWLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
09/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
01/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
23/07	Rakvere FC Freedom Estonia Cup	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
20/07	JK Tammeka Tartu II Estonia Esiliiga B	3-1	4-5	4	6	L
12/07	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	1-4	5	4	L
05/07	Tallinna JK Legion Estonia Esiliiga B	3-0	3-2	5	4	W
22/06	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-1	2-3	1	1	L
19/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	1-2	2-2	4	5	D
13/06	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-2	3	4	L

Tallinna JK Legion

WLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	JK Trans Narva II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-3	2	8	L
01/08	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
26/07	Saku Sporting Estonia Cup	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
18/07	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	1-0	2-0	9	6	W
12/07	FA Tartu Kalev Estonia Esiliiga B	1-5	2-10	–	–	L
05/07	JK Tallinna Kalev II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	2-3	5	4	L
22/06	Parnu JK Vaprus II Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	1-4	1	5	L
18/06	Johvi FC Phoenix Estonia Esiliiga B	0-2	1-6	1	4	L
01/06	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 Estonia Esiliiga B	0-3	0-6	2	7	L
27/05	Tabasalu FC Charma Estonia Esiliiga B	0-1	3-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JK Tallinna Kalev II win (74%). Probabilities: JK Tallinna Kalev II 74%, draw 13%, Tallinna JK Legion 12%.

How many goals are expected in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion?

The model expects 4.66 goals (JK Tallinna Kalev II 3.28 · Tallinna JK Legion 1.37), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Tallinna JK Legion?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.